Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings (FRA:TO91) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 15.26% (As of Mar. 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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FRA:TO91 Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Inc FRA:TO91
72 GF Score
Price €4.86
GF Value €3.40
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings FRA:TO91 72 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.26% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:TO91 with a GF Score™ of 72/100 and a GF Value™ of €3.40 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 513 Capital Markets companies, Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings ranks better than 61.79% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings's forward rate of return for was 15.26%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:TO91' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -29.13   Med: -3.29   Max: 29.9
Current: 14.13

During the past 13 years, Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings's highest Forward Rate of Return was 29.90. The lowest was -29.13. And the median was -3.29.

FRA:TO91's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
61.79% of 513 companies
in the Capital Markets industry
Industry Median: 9.47 vs FRA:TO91: 14.13

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings  (FRA:TO91) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -19.87 2.22 16.91 28.96 15.26

Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.26 0.00

FRA:TO91 vs MS, GS, SCHW: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


FRA:TO91
72GF Score
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Inc FRA:TO91
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.21733333/3.82+0.0226
=7.95 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 15.26% mean?
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings (FRA:TO91) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 15.26% as of Mar. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings ranks #196 out of 513 companies in the Capital Markets industry, placing it in the top 38.2%.
Is Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings' current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.26%. The Capital Markets industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.47. Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings' value of 15.26% is 61.1% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings ranks #196 out of 513 companies in the Capital Markets industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings has a GF Score™ of 72/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to MS and GS?
According to the Capital Markets industry distribution chart, Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings ranks #196 out of 513 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.47. Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings' value of 15.26% is 61.1% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Capital Markets company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Capital Markets companies is 9.47, based on 513 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 15.26% is 61.1% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings and its competitors. For the Capital Markets industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.47 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.26%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings (FRA:TO91) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €3.40, compared to a current price of €4.86 — trading 42.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.26% and 61.1% above the Capital Markets industry median of 9.47. Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 72/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings (FRA:TO91), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.26% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings (FRA:TO91) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €4.86 is trading 42.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of €3.40. GuruFocus considers Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:TO91:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 15.26%
  • GF Value™: €3.40 vs. price of €4.86 (42.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 72/100 with 7 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 61.1% above the Capital Markets median (#196 of 513)

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:TO91 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges 8616:Japan
Address 6-2, Nihonbashi 3-chome, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 103-0027
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Inc. is the holding company of the Tokai Tokyo Financial Group. It operates and manages the group's companies. Tokai Tokyo Financial Group consists primarily of companies in Japan, but a few are in overseas markets. Tokyo Securities is the operating nucleus of the group and manages financial instruments businesses, fund management, back-office services, and research. For the overall group, operations are divided into trading activities and commissions. Tokai's commissions are gained through brokerage services and underwriting and distribution.
72GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:TO91

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€4.86
Price
€3.40
GF Value