Harbor Star Shipping Services (PHS:TUGS) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 88.38% (As of Mar. 2026) — 3068% Above Median

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PHS:TUGS Harbor Star Shipping Services Inc PHS:TUGS
59 GF Score
Price ₱1.07
GF Value ₱0.61
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 10 Warning Signs
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What is Harbor Star Shipping Services Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Harbor Star Shipping Services PHS:TUGS +1.90% 59 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 88.38% as of Mar. 2026, which is 3068% above its 10-year median of 2.79. GuruFocus rates PHS:TUGS with a GF Score™ of 59/100 and a GF Value™ of ₱0.61 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 10 warning signs investors should review. Among 751 Transportation companies, Harbor Star Shipping Services ranks better than 96.8% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Harbor Star Shipping Services's forward rate of return for was 88.38%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Harbor Star Shipping Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

PHS:TUGS' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -57.37   Med: 2.79   Max: 114.38
Current: 50.97

During the past 13 years, Harbor Star Shipping Services's highest Forward Rate of Return was 114.38. The lowest was -57.37. And the median was 2.79.

PHS:TUGS's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
96.8% of 751 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 10.44 vs PHS:TUGS: 50.97

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Harbor Star Shipping Services  (PHS:TUGS) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Harbor Star Shipping Services Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Harbor Star Shipping Services Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Harbor Star Shipping Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Harbor Star Shipping Services Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Harbor Star Shipping Services Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -12.14 15.46 55.60 106.01 86.98

Harbor Star Shipping Services Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 95.73 91.37 101.29 86.98 88.38

Harbor Star Shipping Services Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Competitor Comparison

For the Marine Shipping subindustry, Harbor Star Shipping Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Harbor Star Shipping Services Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Harbor Star Shipping Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Harbor Star Shipping Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


PHS:TUGS
59GF Score
Harbor Star Shipping Services Inc PHS:TUGS
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Harbor Star Shipping Services Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Harbor Star Shipping Services's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.43961905/0.56+0.0988
=88.38 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 88.38% mean?
Harbor Star Shipping Services (PHS:TUGS) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 88.38% as of Mar. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Harbor Star Shipping Services and its competitors. This is 3068% above median its historical median of 2.79. According to the industry distribution chart, Harbor Star Shipping Services ranks #24 out of 751 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 3.2%.
Is Harbor Star Shipping Services' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Harbor Star Shipping Services' current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 88.38% is 3068% above median its 10-year median of 2.79. The Transportation industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.44. Harbor Star Shipping Services' value of 88.38% is 746.6% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Harbor Star Shipping Services ranks #24 out of 751 companies in the Transportation industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Harbor Star Shipping Services has a GF Score™ of 59/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Harbor Star Shipping Services' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to competitors?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Harbor Star Shipping Services ranks #24 out of 751 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Harbor Star Shipping Services in the top 3% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.44. Harbor Star Shipping Services' value of 88.38% is 746.6% above this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 2.79 vs. the industry median of 10.44, Harbor Star Shipping Services has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Transportation company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Transportation companies is 10.44, based on 751 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Harbor Star Shipping Services's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 88.38% is 746.6% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Harbor Star Shipping Services and its competitors. For the Transportation industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.44 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Harbor Star Shipping Services's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 88.38%, which is 3068% above median its own 10-year median of 2.79. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Harbor Star Shipping Services stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Harbor Star Shipping Services (PHS:TUGS) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₱0.61, compared to a current price of ₱1.07 — trading 75.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 88.38%, which is 3068% above median its 10-year median of 2.79 and 746.6% above the Transportation industry median of 10.44. Harbor Star Shipping Services' overall GF Score™ is 59/100 with 10 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Harbor Star Shipping Services (PHS:TUGS), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 88.38% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Harbor Star Shipping Services (PHS:TUGS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Harbor Star Shipping Services stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₱1.07 is trading 75.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₱0.61. GuruFocus considers Harbor Star Shipping Services to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for PHS:TUGS:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 88.38% (3068% above median its 10-year median of 2.79)
  • GF Value™: ₱0.61 vs. price of ₱1.07 (75.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 59/100 with 10 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 746.6% above the Transportation median (#24 of 751)

No single metric tells the full story. See the PHS:TUGS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Harbor Star Shipping Services Business Description

Address 2224 A. Bonifacio Street corner Pres. Sergio Osmena Highway, Bangkal, Makati, PHL, 1233
Harbor Star Shipping Services Inc is an integrated maritime service provider. The service lines include harbor assistance, lighterage, towing, ship salvage, marine construction, repair, and maintenance works, wreck removal, firefighting, oil spill abatement and recovery, handling hazardous chemicals, ship and crew management, diving, and underwater marine works. Other marine services include oil and chemical spill response, diving and underwater work, and ship and crew management. The company operates in two segments: Harbor assistance and Renewable energy. It generates maximum revenue from the Harbor assistance segment.
59GF Score

Get the complete analysis for PHS:TUGS

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₱1.07
Price
₱0.61
GF Value