Victorias Milling Co (PHS:VMC) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 10.76% (As of May. 2026) — Near Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

PHS:VMC Victorias Milling Co Inc PHS:VMC
86 GF Score
Price ₱2.14
GF Value ₱1.81
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Victorias Milling Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Victorias Milling Co PHS:VMC 86 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.76% as of May. 2026, which is 0% above its 10-year median of 10.75. GuruFocus rates PHS:VMC with a GF Score™ of 86/100 and a GF Value™ of ₱1.81 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,397 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, Victorias Milling Co ranks better than 54.62% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Victorias Milling Co's forward rate of return for was 10.76%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Victorias Milling Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

PHS:VMC' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -9.22   Med: 10.75   Max: 20.35
Current: 10.26

During the past 13 years, Victorias Milling Co's highest Forward Rate of Return was 20.35. The lowest was -9.22. And the median was 10.75.

PHS:VMC's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
54.62% of 1397 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 8.6 vs PHS:VMC: 10.26

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Victorias Milling Co  (PHS:VMC) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Victorias Milling Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Victorias Milling Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Victorias Milling Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Victorias Milling Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Victorias Milling Co Annual Data
Trend Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23 Aug24 Aug25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.69 16.69 12.40 15.70 15.66

Victorias Milling Co Quarterly Data
Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26 May26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.72 15.66 14.24 13.01 10.76

PHS:VMC vs MDLZ, HSY, TR: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Confectioners subindustry, Victorias Milling Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Victorias Milling Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Victorias Milling Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Victorias Milling Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


PHS:VMC
86GF Score
Victorias Milling Co Inc PHS:VMC
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Victorias Milling Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Victorias Milling Co's Forward Rate of Return of May. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.08228571/1.9+0.0643
=10.76 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 10.76% mean?
Victorias Milling Co (PHS:VMC) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 10.76% as of May. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Victorias Milling Co and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 10.75. According to the industry distribution chart, Victorias Milling Co ranks #634 out of 1397 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 45.4%.
Is Victorias Milling Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Victorias Milling Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 10.76% is near median its 10-year median of 10.75. The Consumer Packaged Goods industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 8.60. Victorias Milling Co's value of 10.76% is 25.1% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Victorias Milling Co ranks #634 out of 1397 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Victorias Milling Co has a GF Score™ of 86/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Victorias Milling Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to MDLZ and HSY?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, Victorias Milling Co ranks #634 out of 1397 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts Victorias Milling Co in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 8.60. Victorias Milling Co's value of 10.76% is 25.1% above this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 10.75 vs. the industry median of 8.60, Victorias Milling Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Consumer Packaged Goods companies is 8.60, based on 1,397 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Victorias Milling Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 10.76% is 25.1% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Victorias Milling Co and its competitors. For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 8.60 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Victorias Milling Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.76%, which is near median its own 10-year median of 10.75. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Victorias Milling Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Victorias Milling Co (PHS:VMC) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₱1.81, compared to a current price of ₱2.14 — trading 18.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.76%, which is near median its 10-year median of 10.75 and 25.1% above the Consumer Packaged Goods industry median of 8.60. Victorias Milling Co's overall GF Score™ is 86/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Victorias Milling Co (PHS:VMC), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.76% as of May. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Victorias Milling Co (PHS:VMC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Victorias Milling Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₱2.14 is trading 18.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₱1.81. GuruFocus considers Victorias Milling Co to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for PHS:VMC:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 10.76% (near median its 10-year median of 10.75)
  • GF Value™: ₱1.81 vs. price of ₱2.14 (18.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 86/100 with 8 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 25.1% above the Consumer Packaged Goods median (#634 of 1397)

No single metric tells the full story. See the PHS:VMC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Victorias Milling Co Business Description

Address J.J. Ossorio Street, VMC Compound, Barangay XVI, Negros Occidental, Victorias, NEC, PHL, 6119
Victorias Milling Co Inc is a Philippines-based company engaged in sugar manufacturing. The company offers milling and tolling services to planters and sells raw sugar, refined sugar, molasses, and renewable energy. The company operates through business segments that include Sugar Milling, Renewable Energy Operations, and Others. The Sugar Milling segment generates maximum revenue for the company.
86GF Score

Get the complete analysis for PHS:VMC

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₱2.14
Price
₱1.81
GF Value