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African Phoenix Investments (STU:NXHA) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : -72.58% (As of Sep. 2019)


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What is African Phoenix Investments Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. African Phoenix Investments's forward rate of return for was -72.58%.

The historical rank and industry rank for African Phoenix Investments's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

STU:NXHA' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1455.07   Med: -349.54   Max: 14.57
Current: -143.89

During the past 13 years, African Phoenix Investments's highest Forward Rate of Return was 14.57. The lowest was -1455.07. And the median was -349.54.

STU:NXHA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked
in the Asset Management industry.
Industry Median: 5.51 vs STU:NXHA: -143.89

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


African Phoenix Investments Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for African Phoenix Investments's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

African Phoenix Investments Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

African Phoenix Investments Annual Data
Trend Sep09 Sep10 Sep11 Sep12 Sep13 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1,372.86 -1,250.82 -573.43 -425.68 -72.58

African Phoenix Investments Semi-Annual Data
Sep09 Mar10 Sep10 Mar11 Sep11 Mar12 Sep12 Mar13 Sep13 Mar14 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -425.68 - -72.58 -

Competitive Comparison of African Phoenix Investments's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Asset Management subindustry, African Phoenix Investments's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


African Phoenix Investments's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, African Phoenix Investments's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where African Phoenix Investments's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



African Phoenix Investments Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

African Phoenix Investments's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2019 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year Book Value Growth Rate
=-0.03166667/0.04+-0.0396
=-83.13 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


African Phoenix Investments  (STU:NXHA) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


African Phoenix Investments Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of African Phoenix Investments's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


African Phoenix Investments (STU:NXHA) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
28 Sturdee Avenue, 3rd Floor, Global House, Rosebank, ZAF, 2196
African Phoenix Investments Ltd is an investment holding company. Its income is generated through interest, investment income and dividends received from its wholly-owned subsidiary, The Standard General Insurance Company Limited (Stangen) in South Africa. It has two operating segments namely the Insurance segment which includes funeral, other products, and the Corporate segment. It also has a retail insurance portfolio and mainly funeral policies. The majority of its revenue is generated from Funeral insurance.

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