ALNPY (ANA Holdings) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

ALNPY ANA Holdings Inc ALNPY
79 GF Score
Price $3.76
GF Value $4.31
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is ANA Holdings Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of ANA Holdings is: Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock.


ANA Holdings  (OTCPK:ALNPY) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.


ANA Holdings Risk Assessment Related Terms


ALNPY vs DAL, UAL, LUV: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Airlines subindustry, ANA Holdings's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ANA Holdings Risk Assessment vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, ANA Holdings's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ANA Holdings's Risk Assessment falls into.


ALNPY
79GF Score
ANA Holdings Inc ALNPY
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is ANA Holdings (ALNPY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ANA Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $3.76 is trading 12.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of $4.31. GuruFocus considers ANA Holdings to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for ALNPY:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: $4.31 vs. price of $3.76 (12.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ALNPY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


ANA Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges 9202:JapanANCA:Germany
Address 1-5-2 Higashi-Shinbashi, Shiodome City Center, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 105-7140
ANA Holdings is the holding firm of Japan's largest airline, All Nippon Airways. Besides the flagship carrier, ANA also owns discount airline Peach Aviation, Hokkaido-based Air Do, and airfreight carrier Nippon Cargo Airlines. Air Japan, which was launched to provide discount flights to Southeast Asia, will cease in 2026. Prior to covid-19, passenger transport made up over 50% of group revenue, split almost equally between domestic and international passenger routes while cargo revenue made up 4%-5%. Its primary hub is Tokyo's Narita International Airport, but it is also expanding routes from Haneda Airport. ANA has minor stakes in Philippine Airlines, Vietnam Airlines, and IHG ANA Hotels Group Japan. The latter is a hotel chain in Japan owned and operated by InterContinental Hotels Group.
79GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ALNPY

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$3.76
Price
$4.31
GF Value