Bavarian Nordic AS (CHIX:BAVAC) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

CHIX:BAVAC Bavarian Nordic AS CHIX:BAVAC
79 GF Score
Price kr188.30
GF Value kr164.93
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Bavarian Nordic AS Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Bavarian Nordic AS is: No Data: Cannot be evaluated.

Bavarian Nordic AS  (CHIX:BAVAc) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Bavarian Nordic AS Risk Assessment Related Terms

CHIX:BAVAC vs VRTX, REGN, ALNY: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Bavarian Nordic AS's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Bavarian Nordic AS Risk Assessment vs Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Bavarian Nordic AS's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bavarian Nordic AS's Risk Assessment falls into.


CHIX:BAVAC
79GF Score
Bavarian Nordic AS CHIX:BAVAC
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is Bavarian Nordic AS (CHIX:BAVAC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Bavarian Nordic AS stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of kr188.30 is trading 14.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of kr164.93.

Key valuation signals for CHIX:BAVAC:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: kr164.93 vs. price of kr188.30 (14.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the CHIX:BAVAC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Bavarian Nordic AS Business Description

Address Philip Heymans Alle 3, Hellerup, DNK, 2900
Bavarian Nordic AS is a biotechnology company focused on the research, development, manufacturing, and commercialization of life-saving vaccines. The group is a supplier of mpox and smallpox vaccines to governments to enhance public health preparedness and has a portfolio of travel vaccines. The vast majority of the company's revenue is generated in the United States, Germany, and other geographic markets. Its products include Encepur, Jynneos, Rabipur, Vaxchora, VIMKUNYA and Vivotif.
79GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CHIX:BAVAC

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

kr188.30
Price
kr164.93
GF Value