Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index, it shows how the price swings around its mean. The volatility here is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. In most cases, the higher the volatility, the riskier the security.
Bavarian Nordic AS (CHIX:BAVAc) Volatility Explanation
Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index. It’s often measured as standard deviation or variance of historical returns over a certain period. The volatility here is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year.
Volatility reflects the uncertainty or risk of a security’s value. Generally speaking, a higher volatility suggests a higher risk, because it implies a wider fluctuation around average price. This means the price of the security can change dramatically in either direction within a short period. Conversely, a lower volatility means that the security's price is more steady, which suggests a lower risk.
Another measurement of relative volatility is Beta. Beta is a measure of systematic risk of a security or a portfolio in comparison to the market as a whole. Beta is usually compared to 1. A beta of greater than 1 indicates that the security's price will be more volatile than the market.
Bavarian Nordic AS Volatility Related Terms
CHIX:BAVAC vs VRTX, REGN, ALNY: Volatility Comparison
For the Biotechnology subindustry, Bavarian Nordic AS's Volatility, along with its competitors' market caps and Volatility data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Bavarian Nordic AS Volatility vs Biotechnology Industry
For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Bavarian Nordic AS's Volatility distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Bavarian Nordic AS's Volatility falls into.
Bavarian Nordic AS (CHIX:BAVAc) Volatility Calculation
The annualized volatility is calculated as following:
σA
=
σM
*
√12
=
√ 1/(n-1) ∑(Ri - R')^2
*
√12
Where: σM is the monthly volatility, n is the number of months in the period, Ri is the security's historical monthly returns and R' is the arithmetic mean of monthly returns.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Bavarian Nordic AS (CHIX:BAVAC) has a Volatility of 41.73% as of Jun. 25, 2026. Volatility is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. View historical data on Bavarian Nordic AS and its competitors.
Is Bavarian Nordic AS's Volatility too high?
Bavarian Nordic AS's current Volatility is 41.73%. Overall, Bavarian Nordic AS has a GF Score™ of 84/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Bavarian Nordic AS's Volatility compare to VRTX and REGN?
Bavarian Nordic AS's Volatility of 41.73% can be compared against companies in the Biotechnology industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Volatility for a Biotechnology company?
A good Volatility depends on the Biotechnology industry context. However, Volatility should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Volatility mean?
A high Volatility can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Volatility is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. View historical data on Bavarian Nordic AS and its competitors. Bavarian Nordic AS's current Volatility is 41.73%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Bavarian Nordic AS stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Bavarian Nordic AS (CHIX:BAVAC) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is kr175.27, compared to a current price of kr188.30 — trading 7.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Volatility is 41.73%. Bavarian Nordic AS's overall GF Score™ is 84/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Volatility calculated?
Volatility is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Bavarian Nordic AS (CHIX:BAVAC), the current Volatility is 41.73% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Bavarian Nordic AS (CHIX:BAVAC) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Bavarian Nordic AS stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of kr188.30 is trading 7.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of kr175.27.
GuruFocus considers Bavarian Nordic AS to be Fairly Valued.
Key valuation signals for CHIX:BAVAC:
Volatility: 41.73%
GF Value™: kr175.27 vs. price of kr188.30 (7.4% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the CHIX:BAVAC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Bavarian Nordic AS is a biotechnology company focused on the research, development, manufacturing, and commercialization of life-saving vaccines. The group is a supplier of mpox and smallpox vaccines to governments to enhance public health preparedness and has a portfolio of travel vaccines. The vast majority of the company's revenue is generated in the United States, Germany, and other geographic markets. Its products include Encepur, Jynneos, Rabipur, Vaxchora, VIMKUNYA and Vivotif.
84GF Score
Get the complete analysis for CHIX:BAVAC
Volatility is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
CHIX:BAVAC has been successfully added to your 