CTRN (Citi Trends) Risk Assessment


CTRN Citi Trends Inc CTRN
63 GF Score
Price $57.69
GF Value $29.07
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Citi Trends Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Citi Trends is: High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff.

Citi Trends  (NAS:CTRN) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Citi Trends Risk Assessment Related Terms

CTRN vs CAL, SHOE, GCO: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Citi Trends's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Citi Trends Risk Assessment vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Citi Trends's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Citi Trends's Risk Assessment falls into.


CTRN
63GF Score
Citi Trends Inc CTRN
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is Citi Trends (CTRN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Citi Trends stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $57.69 is trading 98.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of $29.07. GuruFocus considers Citi Trends to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for CTRN:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: $29.07 vs. price of $57.69 (98.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 63/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the CTRN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Citi Trends Business Description

Other Exchanges WW2:Germany
Address 17 Park of Commerce Boulevard, Suite 200, Savannah, GA, USA, 31405
Citi Trends Inc is a differentiated off-price value retailer known for trendy fashions, great brands and amazing prices. It is the off-price retailer specifically focused on Black customers, delivering the styles, brands, and trends at amazing prices that resonate with its primary and secondary customers. Its product offering is Women's, Men's and Children's apparel, family footwear, accessories and products for the home, with a three-tiered mix of product. At the opening price point, the company offers value-focused basics for its budget-conscious customers.
63GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CTRN

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$57.69
Price
$29.07
GF Value