GARPY (Golden Agri-Resources) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

GARPY Golden Agri-Resources Ltd GARPY
76 GF Score
Price $22.09
GF Value $19.78
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Golden Agri-Resources Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Golden Agri-Resources is: Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock.


Golden Agri-Resources  (OTCPK:GARPY) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.


Golden Agri-Resources Risk Assessment Related Terms


GARPY vs ADM, BG, TSN: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Farm Products subindustry, Golden Agri-Resources's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Golden Agri-Resources Risk Assessment vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Golden Agri-Resources's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Golden Agri-Resources's Risk Assessment falls into.


GARPY
76GF Score
Golden Agri-Resources Ltd GARPY
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is Golden Agri-Resources (GARPY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Golden Agri-Resources stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $22.09 is trading 11.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of $19.78. GuruFocus considers Golden Agri-Resources to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for GARPY:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: $19.78 vs. price of $22.09 (11.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the GARPY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Golden Agri-Resources Business Description

Address c/o IQ EQ Corporate Services (Mauritius) Ltd, 33 Edith Cavell Street, Port Louis, MUS, 11324
Golden Agri-Resources Ltd is an integrated palm oil plantation in Indonesia with estates spanning from east to west across the archipelago. The company markets its products in bulk, industrial and branded form, domestically as well as in international markets. In addition to its main palm-based products, it processes and markets soybean and sunflower oil-based products, especially in China and India, as well as operate sugar trading business. It operates in two segments namely Plantations and palm oil mills - comprises the products from upstream business; Palm, laurics and others - refers to the processing and merchandising of palm and oilseed-based products comprising bulk and branded products, oleochemicals, sugar and other vegetable oils.
76GF Score

Get the complete analysis for GARPY

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$22.09
Price
$19.78
GF Value