Krispy Kreme (MEX:DNUT) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MEX:DNUT Krispy Kreme Inc MEX:DNUT
42 GF Score
Price MXN55.30
GF Value MXN150.62
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Krispy Kreme Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Krispy Kreme is: High Risk: High uncertainty.

Krispy Kreme  (MEX:DNUT) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Krispy Kreme Risk Assessment Related Terms

MEX:DNUT vs YSWY, VLGEA, NGVC: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Krispy Kreme's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Krispy Kreme Risk Assessment vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Krispy Kreme's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Krispy Kreme's Risk Assessment falls into.


MEX:DNUT
42GF Score
Krispy Kreme Inc MEX:DNUT
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is Krispy Kreme (MEX:DNUT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Krispy Kreme stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN55.30 is trading 63.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN150.62. GuruFocus considers Krispy Kreme to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for MEX:DNUT:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: MXN150.62 vs. price of MXN55.30 (63.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 42/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:DNUT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Krispy Kreme Business Description

Other Exchanges DNUT:USA9YM:Germany
Address 2116 Hawkins Street, Suite 101, Charlotte, NC, USA, 28203
Krispy Kreme Inc is a sweet-treat brand company. The company's Original Glazed doughnut is recognized for its hot-off-the-line, melt-in-mouth experience. It operates through its network of fresh Doughnut Shops, partnerships with retailers, and a growing e-commerce and delivery business. The company conducts its business through the following three reported segments: U.S., which includes all operations in the United States; International, which includes operations in the U.K., Ireland, Australia, New Zealand, Canada, Japan, and Mexico; and Market Development, which includes franchise operations world-wide. It derives maximum revenue from the U.S. segment.
42GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:DNUT

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN55.30
Price
MXN150.62
GF Value