Marathon Petroleum (MEX:MPC) Risk Assessment


MEX:MPC Marathon Petroleum Corp MEX:MPC
65 GF Score
Price MXN4,668.19
GF Value MXN3,645.52
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Marathon Petroleum Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Marathon Petroleum is: Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock.

Marathon Petroleum  (MEX:MPC) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Marathon Petroleum Risk Assessment Related Terms

MEX:MPC vs VLO, PSX, SUN: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Marathon Petroleum's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Marathon Petroleum Risk Assessment vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Marathon Petroleum's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Marathon Petroleum's Risk Assessment falls into.


MEX:MPC
65GF Score
Marathon Petroleum Corp MEX:MPC
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is Marathon Petroleum (MEX:MPC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Marathon Petroleum stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN4,668.19 is trading 28.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN3,645.52. GuruFocus considers Marathon Petroleum to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:MPC:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: MXN3,645.52 vs. price of MXN4,668.19 (28.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 65/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:MPC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Marathon Petroleum Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address 539 South Main Street, Findlay, OH, USA, 45840-3229
Marathon Petroleum is a leading integrated downstream and midstream energy company that operates 13 refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States with an aggregate crude oil refining capacity of 3.0 million barrels per day. The company is one of the largest producers of renewable diesel in the US; its Dickinson, North Dakota facility has the capacity to produce 184 million gallons per year, and its Martinez, California, joint venture facility (a 50/50 partnership with Neste) reached its full capacity of 730 million gallons per year in late 2024. Marathon also owns the general partner and approximately 64% of MPLX LP, a large-cap master limited partnership that owns and operates midstream energy infrastructure and logistics assets.
65GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:MPC

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN4,668.19
Price
MXN3,645.52
GF Value