Marathon Petroleum (MEX:MPC) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN284.00 (As of Jun. 2026)

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MEX:MPC Marathon Petroleum Corp MEX:MPC
63 GF Score
Price MXN4,680.00
GF Value MXN4,013.63
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Marathon Petroleum MEX:MPC 63 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN284.00 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:MPC with a GF Score™ of 63/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN4,013.63 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Marathon Petroleum's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was MXN550.005. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN284.00 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Marathon Petroleum's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 37.10% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 22.20% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 28.10% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Marathon Petroleum was 35.60% per year. The lowest was 17.30% per year. And the median was 27.35% per year.

As of today (2026-08-08), Marathon Petroleum's current stock price is MXN4680.00. Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was MXN284.00. Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 16.48.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Marathon Petroleum was 21.70. The lowest was 4.35. And the median was 14.95.


Marathon Petroleum  (MEX:MPC) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=4680.00/284.00
=16.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Marathon Petroleum was 21.70. The lowest was 4.35. And the median was 14.95.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Marathon Petroleum Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 95.13 127.88 164.63 224.66 279.81

Marathon Petroleum Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 227.64 204.35 279.81 248.32 284.00

MEX:MPC vs VLO, PSX, DINO: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:MPC
63GF Score
Marathon Petroleum Corp MEX:MPC
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Marathon Petroleum's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=550.005/333.9520*333.9520
=550.005

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

Marathon Petroleum Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201609 -11.346 241.428 -15.694
201612 10.543 241.432 14.583
201703 17.692 243.801 24.234
201706 6.923 244.955 9.438
201709 44.405 246.819 60.081
201712 77.167 246.524 104.534
201803 -33.761 249.554 -45.179
201806 70.933 251.989 94.005
201809 13.660 252.439 18.071
201812 51.813 251.233 68.873
201903 11.010 254.202 14.464
201906 41.648 256.143 54.299
201909 52.197 256.759 67.890
201912 30.662 256.974 39.847
202003 -62.202 258.115 -80.478
202006 -7.351 257.797 -9.523
202009 23.348 260.280 29.957
202012 26.696 260.474 34.227
202103 4.710 264.877 5.938
202106 32.811 271.696 40.329
202109 -49.226 274.310 -59.929
202112 108.266 278.802 129.682
202203 70.740 287.504 82.168
202206 242.242 296.311 273.015
202209 73.823 296.808 83.062
202212 152.302 296.797 171.368
202303 145.168 301.836 160.614
202306 143.330 305.109 156.879
202309 199.394 307.789 216.343
202312 26.680 306.746 29.046
202403 43.416 312.332 46.421
202406 144.205 314.175 153.283
202409 61.265 315.301 64.889
202412 91.048 315.605 96.341
202503 -47.518 319.799 -49.621
202506 119.231 322.561 123.442
202509 100.290 324.800 103.116
202512 113.316 324.054 116.777
202603 12.715 330.213 12.859
202606 550.005 333.952 550.005

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN284.00 mean?
Marathon Petroleum (MEX:MPC) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN284.00 as of Jun. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Marathon Petroleum and its competitors.
Is Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Marathon Petroleum's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN284.00. Overall, Marathon Petroleum has a GF Score™ of 63/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to VLO and PSX?
Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN284.00 can be compared against companies in the Oil & Gas industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Marathon Petroleum and its competitors. Marathon Petroleum's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN284.00. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Marathon Petroleum stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Marathon Petroleum (MEX:MPC) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN4,013.63, compared to a current price of MXN4,680.00 — trading 16.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN284.00. Marathon Petroleum's overall GF Score™ is 63/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Marathon Petroleum (MEX:MPC), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN284.00 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Marathon Petroleum (MEX:MPC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Marathon Petroleum stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN4,680.00 is trading 16.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN4,013.63. GuruFocus considers Marathon Petroleum to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:MPC:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN284.00
  • GF Value™: MXN4,013.63 vs. price of MXN4,680.00 (16.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 63/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:MPC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Marathon Petroleum Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address 539 South Main Street, Findlay, OH, USA, 45840-3229
Marathon Petroleum is a leading integrated downstream and midstream energy company that operates 13 refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States with an aggregate crude oil refining capacity of 3.0 million barrels per day. The company is one of the largest producers of renewable diesel in the US; its Dickinson, North Dakota facility has the capacity to produce 184 million gallons per year, and its Martinez, California, joint venture facility (a 50/50 partnership with Neste) reached its full capacity of 730 million gallons per year in late 2024. Marathon also owns the general partner and approximately 64% of MPLX LP, a large-cap master limited partnership that owns and operates midstream energy infrastructure and logistics assets.
63GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:MPC

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN4,680.00
Price
MXN4,013.63
GF Value