NCD Co (TSE:4783) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TSE:4783 NCD Co Ltd TSE:4783
91 GF Score
Price 円2,451.00
GF Value 円2,438.38
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is NCD Co Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of NCD Co is: Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding.


NCD Co  (TSE:4783) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.


NCD Co Risk Assessment Related Terms


TSE:4783 vs IBM, ACN, FISV: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Information Technology Services subindustry, NCD Co's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NCD Co Risk Assessment vs Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, NCD Co's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NCD Co's Risk Assessment falls into.


TSE:4783
91GF Score
NCD Co Ltd TSE:4783
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is NCD Co (TSE:4783) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, NCD Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円2,451.00 is trading 0.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円2,438.38. GuruFocus considers NCD Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:4783:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: 円2,438.38 vs. price of 円2,451.00 (0.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 91/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:4783 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


NCD Co Business Description

Address 4-32-1 Nishigotanda, Shinagawa-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 141-0031
NCD Co Ltd is engaged in IT related business. The businesses of the company are System development business that includes System Construction Solutions, Packaging Solutions, Application maintenance and operation solutions; Support & Service Business that includes Infrastructure Construction Solutions, Infrastructure maintenance and operation solutions, and Business Support Solutions; and Parking system business (bicycle parking lot related business) that includes Construction, operation and management of bicycle parking lots, Sales and operation of bicycle parking management systems, and Bicycle-related comprehensive consulting.
91GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:4783

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円2,451.00
Price
円2,438.38
GF Value