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NCD Co (TSE:4783) Beneish M-Score : -2.94 (As of Apr. 06, 2025)


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What is NCD Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.94 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for NCD Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:4783' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.11   Med: -2.47   Max: -2.25
Current: -2.94

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of NCD Co was -2.25. The lowest was -3.11. And the median was -2.47.


NCD Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for NCD Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

NCD Co Beneish M-Score Chart

NCD Co Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.25 -2.47 -3.11 -2.32 -2.94

NCD Co Quarterly Data
Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - -2.94 -

Competitive Comparison of NCD Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Information Technology Services subindustry, NCD Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NCD Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, NCD Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NCD Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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NCD Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of NCD Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.94+0.528 * 0.8294+0.404 * 0.84+0.892 * 1.115+0.115 * 0.9617
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.079635-0.327 * 0.9271
=-2.94

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円3,782 Mil.
Revenue was 円25,482 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円5,163 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円11,045 Mil.
Total Assets was 円14,899 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円1,509 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円360 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円5,791 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円709 Mil.
Net Income was 円1,388 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円2,574 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円3,608 Mil.
Revenue was 円22,854 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円3,840 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円8,579 Mil.
Total Assets was 円12,388 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円1,486 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円338 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円4,886 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円944 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3782.083 / 25481.801) / (3608.451 / 22853.69)
=0.148423 / 0.157894
=0.94

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3840.15 / 22853.69) / (5162.632 / 25481.801)
=0.168032 / 0.202601
=0.8294

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (11044.746 + 1508.808) / 14899.361) / (1 - (8579.158 + 1486.419) / 12387.522)
=0.157443 / 0.187442
=0.84

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=25481.801 / 22853.69
=1.115

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(337.651 / (337.651 + 1486.419)) / (359.621 / (359.621 + 1508.808))
=0.185109 / 0.192472
=0.9617

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 25481.801) / (0 / 22853.69)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((708.705 + 5791.095) / 14899.361) / ((943.65 + 4885.542) / 12387.522)
=0.436247 / 0.47057
=0.9271

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1387.939 - 0 - 2574.448) / 14899.361
=-0.079635

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

NCD Co has a M-score of -2.94 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


NCD Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
4-32-1 Nishigotanda, Shinagawa-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 141-0031
NCD Co Ltd is engaged in IT related business. The businesses of the company are System development business that includes System Construction Solutions, Packaging Solutions, Application maintenance and operation solutions; Support & Service Business that includes Infrastructure Construction Solutions, Infrastructure maintenance and operation solutions, and Business Support Solutions; and Parking system business (bicycle parking lot related business) that includes Construction, operation and management of bicycle parking lots, Sales and operation of bicycle parking management systems, and Bicycle-related comprehensive consulting.

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