Arun Valley Hydro Power Co (XNEP:AHPC) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

XNEP:AHPC Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Ltd XNEP:AHPC
91 GF Score
Price NPR264.90
GF Value NPR325.99
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Arun Valley Hydro Power Co is: Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock.

Arun Valley Hydro Power Co  (XNEP:AHPC) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Risk Assessment Related Terms

XNEP:AHPC vs NEE, SO, DUK: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Electric subindustry, Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Risk Assessment vs Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's Risk Assessment falls into.


XNEP:AHPC
91GF Score
Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Ltd XNEP:AHPC
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is Arun Valley Hydro Power Co (XNEP:AHPC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Arun Valley Hydro Power Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of NPR264.90 is trading 18.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of NPR325.99. GuruFocus considers Arun Valley Hydro Power Co to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for XNEP:AHPC:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: NPR325.99 vs. price of NPR264.90 (18.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 91/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XNEP:AHPC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Business Description

Address Trade Tower Nepal, 2nd Floor, Thapathali, Kathmandu, NPL
Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Ltd is a hydropower company. The company develops, builds, owns, and operates hydropower projects. Its projects include Pilowa Solar PV Project. The company is engaged in one segment, i.e. Generation and sale of electricity.
91GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XNEP:AHPC

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

NPR264.90
Price
NPR325.99
GF Value