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Arun Valley Hydro Power Co (XNEP:AHPC) Beneish M-Score : 0.00 (As of Sep. 22, 2024)


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What is Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 10 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Arun Valley Hydro Power Co was -0.05. The lowest was -4.64. And the median was -2.54.


Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Annual Data
Trend Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.54 -3.31 - - -

Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Quarterly Data
Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Apr24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Utilities - Regulated Electric subindustry, Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Arun Valley Hydro Power Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * +0.528 * +0.404 * +0.892 * +0.115 *
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * +4.679 * -0.327 *
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jul23) TTM:Last Year (Jul22) TTM:
Total Receivables was NPR23.4 Mil.
Revenue was NPR262.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was NPR206.9 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NPR581.4 Mil.
Total Assets was NPR3,487.5 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NPR2,630.7 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NPR89.7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NPR3.1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NPR318.3 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NPR1,246.1 Mil.
Net Income was NPR50.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was NPR0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was NPR99.4 Mil.
Total Receivables was NPR50.6 Mil.
Revenue was NPR139.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was NPR107.8 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NPR636.2 Mil.
Total Assets was NPR3,174.2 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NPR2,538.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NPR35.7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NPR2.9 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NPR116.3 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NPR1,175.0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(23.4 / 262.755) / (50.624 / 139.098)
=0.089056 / 0.363945
=

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(107.769 / 139.098) / (206.863 / 262.755)
=0.77477 / 0.787285
=

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (581.432 + 2630.715) / 3487.475) / (1 - (636.223 + 2537.95) / 3174.173)
=0.078948 / 0
=

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=262.755 / 139.098
=

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(35.738 / (35.738 + 2537.95)) / (89.657 / (89.657 + 2630.715))
=0.013886 / 0.032958
=

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3.12 / 262.755) / (2.879 / 139.098)
=0.011874 / 0.020698
=

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1246.087 + 318.327) / 3487.475) / ((1174.966 + 116.25) / 3174.173)
=0.448581 / 0.406788
=

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(50.847 - 0 - 99.438) / 3487.475
=-0.013933

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Trade Tower Nepal, 2nd Floor, Thapathali, Kathmandu, NPL
Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Ltd is a hydropower company. The company develops, builds, owns and operates hydropower projects. Its projects include Pilowa solar PV project, Kabeli B-1 Cascade HEP, Budhum khola HEP among others.

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