Arun Valley Hydro Power Co (XNEP:AHPC) Beneish M-Score: -1.59 (As of Jul. 12, 2026)


XNEP:AHPC Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Ltd XNEP:AHPC
93 GF Score
Price NPR261.50
GF Value NPR322.29
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Beneish M-Score?

Arun Valley Hydro Power Co XNEP:AHPC +0.54% 93 Beneish M-Score is -1.59 as of Jul. 12, 2026. GuruFocus rates XNEP:AHPC with a GF Score™ of 93/100 and a GF Value™ of NPR322.29 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 487 Utilities - Regulated companies, Arun Valley Hydro Power Co ranks worse than 94.66% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.59 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XNEP:AHPC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.64   Med: -2.23   Max: 6.66
Current: -1.59

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Arun Valley Hydro Power Co was 6.66. The lowest was -4.64. And the median was -2.23.


Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Annual Data
Trend Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23 Jul24 Jul25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.66 -1.59

Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Quarterly Data
Jul20 Apr21 Jul21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 -1.59 0.00 0.00

XNEP:AHPC vs NEE, SO, DUK: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Electric subindustry, Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Beneish M-Score vs Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


XNEP:AHPC
93GF Score
Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Ltd XNEP:AHPC
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Arun Valley Hydro Power Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.178+0.528 * 0.9267+0.404 * 0.9611+0.892 * 2.4929+0.115 * 0.9699
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.2593+4.679 * 0.037617-0.327 * 0.7925
=-1.59

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jul25) TTM:Last Year (Jul24) TTM:
Total Receivables was NPR61.1 Mil.
Revenue was NPR274.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was NPR206.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NPR1,737.6 Mil.
Total Assets was NPR4,744.1 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NPR2,720.6 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NPR98.0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NPR4.3 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NPR194.5 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NPR244.3 Mil.
Net Income was NPR433.3 Mil.
Gross Profit was NPR0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was NPR254.8 Mil.
Total Receivables was NPR137.7 Mil.
Revenue was NPR110.2 Mil.
Gross Profit was NPR76.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NPR1,379.0 Mil.
Total Assets was NPR4,390.3 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NPR2,736.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NPR95.5 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NPR6.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NPR151.1 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NPR361.3 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(61.099 / 274.747) / (137.684 / 110.211)
=0.222383 / 1.249276
=0.178

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(76.64 / 110.211) / (206.179 / 274.747)
=0.695393 / 0.750432
=0.9267

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1737.565 + 2720.591) / 4744.109) / (1 - (1379.002 + 2736.017) / 4390.346)
=0.060275 / 0.062712
=0.9611

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=274.747 / 110.211
=2.4929

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(95.505 / (95.505 + 2736.017)) / (98.017 / (98.017 + 2720.591))
=0.033729 / 0.034775
=0.9699

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(4.339 / 274.747) / (6.713 / 110.211)
=0.015793 / 0.06091
=0.2593

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((244.31 + 194.467) / 4744.109) / ((361.313 + 151.057) / 4390.346)
=0.092489 / 0.116704
=0.7925

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(433.255 - 0 - 254.794) / 4744.109
=0.037617

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Arun Valley Hydro Power Co has a M-score of -1.59 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.59 mean?
Arun Valley Hydro Power Co (XNEP:AHPC) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.59 as of Jul. 12, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Arun Valley Hydro Power Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Arun Valley Hydro Power Co ranks #461 out of 487 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, placing it in the top 94.7%.
Is Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's current Beneish M-Score is -1.59. Based on the distribution chart, Arun Valley Hydro Power Co ranks #461 out of 487 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Arun Valley Hydro Power Co has a GF Score™ of 93/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's Beneish M-Score compare to NEE and SO?
According to the Utilities - Regulated industry distribution chart, Arun Valley Hydro Power Co ranks #461 out of 487 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Arun Valley Hydro Power Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Utilities - Regulated company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Utilities - Regulated industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Arun Valley Hydro Power Co and its competitors. Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's current Beneish M-Score is -1.59. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Arun Valley Hydro Power Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Arun Valley Hydro Power Co (XNEP:AHPC) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is NPR322.29, compared to a current price of NPR261.50 — trading 18.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.59. Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's overall GF Score™ is 93/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Arun Valley Hydro Power Co (XNEP:AHPC), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.59 as of Jul. 12, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Arun Valley Hydro Power Co (XNEP:AHPC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Arun Valley Hydro Power Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of NPR261.50 is trading 18.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of NPR322.29. GuruFocus considers Arun Valley Hydro Power Co to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for XNEP:AHPC:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.59
  • GF Value™: NPR322.29 vs. price of NPR261.50 (18.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 93/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XNEP:AHPC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Business Description

Address Trade Tower Nepal, 2nd Floor, Thapathali, Kathmandu, NPL
Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Ltd is a hydropower company. The company develops, builds, owns, and operates hydropower projects. Its projects include Pilowa Solar PV Project. The company is engaged in one segment, i.e. Generation and sale of electricity.
93GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XNEP:AHPC

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

NPR261.50
Price
NPR322.29
GF Value