Arun Valley Hydro Power Co (XNEP:AHPC) Altman Z-Score: 17.31 (As of Jul. 12, 2026) — 127% Above Median


XNEP:AHPC Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Ltd XNEP:AHPC
93 GF Score
Price NPR261.50
GF Value NPR322.29
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Altman Z-Score?

Arun Valley Hydro Power Co XNEP:AHPC +0.54% 93 Altman Z-Score is 17.31 as of Jul. 12, 2026, which is 127% above its 10-year median of 7.62. GuruFocus rates XNEP:AHPC with a GF Score™ of 93/100 and a GF Value™ of NPR322.29 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 498 Utilities - Regulated companies, Arun Valley Hydro Power Co ranks better than 98.8% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 17.31 is strong.

Arun Valley Hydro Power Co has a Altman Z-Score of 17.31, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XNEP:AHPC' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.93   Med: 7.62   Max: 69.4
Current: 17.31

During the past 12 years, Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 69.40. The lowest was 1.93. And the median was 7.62.


Arun Valley Hydro Power Co  (XNEP:AHPC) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Altman Z-Score Chart

Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Annual Data
Trend Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23 Jul24 Jul25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.77 3.34 2.29 10.75 16.98

Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Quarterly Data
Jul20 Apr21 Jul21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.75 19.75 16.98 17.81 17.96

XNEP:AHPC vs NEE, SO, DUK: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Electric subindustry, Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Altman Z-Score vs Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.


XNEP:AHPC
93GF Score
Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Ltd XNEP:AHPC
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.423+1.4*0+3.3*0.0922+0.6*27.3836+1.0*0.0634
=17.31

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jan. 2026:
Total Assets was NPR4,835.8 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NPR2,179.3 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NPR133.7 Mil.
Retained Earnings was NPR0.0 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 63.251 + 47.937 + 138.363 + 168.735 = NPR418.3 Mil.
Interest Expense was -5.402 + -6.341 + -7.496 + -8.105 = NPR-27.3 Mil.
Revenue was 85.554 + 87.503 + 77.315 + 56.143 = NPR306.5 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was NPR10,565.7 Mil.
Total Liabilities was NPR385.8 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2179.34 - 133.726)/4835.833
=0.423

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=0/4835.833
=0

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(418.286 - -27.344)/4835.833
=0.0922

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=10565.654/385.839
=27.3836

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=306.515/4835.833
=0.0634

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Arun Valley Hydro Power Co has a Altman Z-Score of 17.31 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 17.31 mean?
Arun Valley Hydro Power Co (XNEP:AHPC) has a Altman Z-Score of 17.31 as of Jul. 12, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Arun Valley Hydro Power Co and its competitors. This is 127% above median its historical median of 7.62. Over the past decade, Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.93 to 69.40. According to the industry distribution chart, Arun Valley Hydro Power Co ranks #6 out of 498 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, placing it in the top 1.2%.
Is Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's Altman Z-Score too high?
Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's current Altman Z-Score of 17.31 is 127% above median its 10-year median of 7.62. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.93 to a high of 69.40. The Utilities - Regulated industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.27. Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's value of 17.31 is 1263% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Arun Valley Hydro Power Co ranks #6 out of 498 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Arun Valley Hydro Power Co has a GF Score™ of 93/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's Altman Z-Score compare to NEE and SO?
According to the Utilities - Regulated industry distribution chart, Arun Valley Hydro Power Co ranks #6 out of 498 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Arun Valley Hydro Power Co in the top 1% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.27. Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's value of 17.31 is 1263% above this benchmark. Historically, Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.93 to 69.40 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 7.62 vs. the industry median of 1.27, Arun Valley Hydro Power Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for an Utilities - Regulated company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Utilities - Regulated companies is 1.27, based on 498 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's current Altman Z-Score of 17.31 is 1263% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Arun Valley Hydro Power Co and its competitors. For the Utilities - Regulated industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 1.27 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's current Altman Z-Score is 17.31, which is 127% above median its own 10-year median of 7.62. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Arun Valley Hydro Power Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Arun Valley Hydro Power Co (XNEP:AHPC) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is NPR322.29, compared to a current price of NPR261.50 — trading 18.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 17.31, which is 127% above median its 10-year median of 7.62 and 1263% above the Utilities - Regulated industry median of 1.27. Arun Valley Hydro Power Co's overall GF Score™ is 93/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Arun Valley Hydro Power Co (XNEP:AHPC), the current Altman Z-Score is 17.31 as of Jul. 12, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Arun Valley Hydro Power Co (XNEP:AHPC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Arun Valley Hydro Power Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of NPR261.50 is trading 18.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of NPR322.29. GuruFocus considers Arun Valley Hydro Power Co to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for XNEP:AHPC:

  • Altman Z-Score: 17.31 (127% above median its 10-year median of 7.62)
  • GF Value™: NPR322.29 vs. price of NPR261.50 (18.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 93/100 with 4 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 1263% above the Utilities - Regulated median (#6 of 498)

No single metric tells the full story. See the XNEP:AHPC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Business Description

Address Trade Tower Nepal, 2nd Floor, Thapathali, Kathmandu, NPL
Arun Valley Hydro Power Co Ltd is a hydropower company. The company develops, builds, owns, and operates hydropower projects. Its projects include Pilowa Solar PV Project. The company is engaged in one segment, i.e. Generation and sale of electricity.
93GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XNEP:AHPC

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

NPR261.50
Price
NPR322.29
GF Value