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ModernaCHIX:0QFD 56 Shiller PE Ratio is 110.38 as of Sep. 14, 2026, which is 183% above its 10-year median of 38.97. GuruFocus rates CHIX:0QFD with a GF Score™ of 56/100 and a GF Value™ of €21.90 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 171 Biotechnology companies, Moderna ranks worse than 87.72% on this metric.
As of today (2026-09-14), Moderna's current share price is €117.00. Moderna's E10 for the fiscal year that ended in Dec25 was €1.06. Moderna's Shiller PE Ratio for today is 110.38.
The historical rank and industry rank for Moderna's Shiller PE Ratio or its related term are showing as below:
CHIX:0QFd'
s Shiller PE Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 24.69 Med: 38.97 Max: 115.26
Current: 115.26
During the past 10 years, Moderna's highest Shiller PE Ratio was 115.26. The lowest was 24.69. And the median was 38.97.
CHIX:0QFd's Shiller PE Ratio is ranked worse than 87.72% of 171
companies
in the Biotechnology industry
Industry Median: 32
vs CHIX:0QFd: 115.26
E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.
Moderna's adjusted earnings per share data of for the fiscal year that ended in Dec25 was €-6.200. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our E10, which is €1.06 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec25.
Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation
Compared with the regular PE Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller PE Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.
If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller PE Ratio should give similar results to regular PE Ratio.
Compared with the PS Ratio, the Shiller PE Ratio makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.
Be Aware
Shiller PE Ratio assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company's business model does not work in the future compared with the past, Shiller PE Ratio and PS Ratio will give false valuations.
Moderna Shiller PE Ratio Related Terms
Moderna Shiller PE Ratio Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Moderna's Shiller PE Ratio can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
CHIX:0QFD vs RVMD, ONC, ALNY: Shiller PE Ratio Comparison
For the Biotechnology subindustry, Moderna's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Moderna Shiller PE Ratio vs Biotechnology Industry
For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Moderna's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Moderna's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.
For Shiller PE Ratio, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller PE Ratio is also called PE10.
The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.
Moderna's Shiller PE Ratio for today is calculated as
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Moderna's E10 for the fiscal year that ended in Dec25 is calculated as:
For example, Moderna's adjusted earnings per share data for the fiscal year that ended in Dec25 was:
Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our E10.
Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.
Moderna (CHIX:0QFD) has a Shiller PE Ratio of 110.38 as of Sep. 14, 2026. Shiller price-earnings ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted earnings over a 10-year period. View historical data on Moderna and its competitors. This is 183% above median its historical median of 38.97. Over the past decade, Moderna's Shiller PE Ratio has ranged from 24.69 to 115.26. According to the industry distribution chart, Moderna ranks #150 out of 171 companies in the Biotechnology industry, placing it in the top 87.7%.
Is Moderna's Shiller PE Ratio too high?
Moderna's current Shiller PE Ratio of 110.38 is 183% above median its 10-year median of 38.97. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 24.69 to a high of 115.26. The Biotechnology industry median Shiller PE Ratio is 32.00. Moderna's value of 110.38 is 244.9% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Moderna ranks #150 out of 171 companies in the Biotechnology industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Moderna has a GF Score™ of 56/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Moderna's Shiller PE Ratio compare to RVMD and ONC?
According to the Biotechnology industry distribution chart, Moderna ranks #150 out of 171 companies for Shiller PE Ratio. This places Moderna in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Shiller PE Ratio is 32.00. Moderna's value of 110.38 is 244.9% above this benchmark. Historically, Moderna's own Shiller PE Ratio has ranged from 24.69 to 115.26 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 38.97 vs. the industry median of 32.00, Moderna has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Shiller PE Ratio for a Biotechnology company?
The median Shiller PE Ratio among Biotechnology companies is 32.00, based on 171 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Shiller PE Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Shiller PE Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Moderna's current Shiller PE Ratio of 110.38 is 244.9% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Shiller PE Ratio mean?
A high Shiller PE Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Shiller price-earnings ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted earnings over a 10-year period. View historical data on Moderna and its competitors. For the Biotechnology industry, the median Shiller PE Ratio is 32.00 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Moderna's current Shiller PE Ratio is 110.38, which is 183% above median its own 10-year median of 38.97. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Moderna stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Moderna (CHIX:0QFD) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €21.90, compared to a current price of €117.00 — trading 434.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Shiller PE Ratio is 110.38, which is 183% above median its 10-year median of 38.97 and 244.9% above the Biotechnology industry median of 32.00. Moderna's overall GF Score™ is 56/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Shiller PE Ratio calculated?
Shiller PE Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Moderna (CHIX:0QFD), the current Shiller PE Ratio is 110.38 as of Sep. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Moderna (CHIX:0QFD) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Moderna stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of €117.00 is trading 434.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of €21.90.
GuruFocus considers Moderna to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for CHIX:0QFD:
Shiller PE Ratio: 110.38 (183% above median its 10-year median of 38.97)
GF Value™: €21.90 vs. price of €117.00 (434.2% above fair value)
Industry Position: 244.9% above the Biotechnology median (#150 of 171)
No single metric tells the full story. See the CHIX:0QFD stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Moderna is a commercial-stage biotech that was founded in 2010 and had its initial public offering in December 2018. The firm's mRNA technology was rapidly validated with its covid vaccine, which was authorized in the United States in December 2020. Moderna had 35 mRNA development candidates in clinical studies as of August 2025. Programs span a wide range of therapeutic areas, including infectious disease, oncology, cardiovascular disease, and rare genetic diseases.
56GF Score
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