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Richard Sloan from the University of Michigan was first to document what is referred to as the "accrual anomaly". His 1996 paper found that shares of companies with small or negative accruals vastly outperform (+10%) those of companies with large ones.
Moderna's Sloan Ratio for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was -24.78%.
As of Mar. 2026, Moderna has a Sloan Ratio of -24.78%, indicating there is a warning stage of accrual build up.
Moderna (CHIX:0QFd) Sloan Ratio % Explanation
A former University of Michigan researcher, Richard Sloan's 1996 paper found that shares of companies with small or negative accruals vastly outperform (+10%) those of companies with large ones. In fact, for the 40-year period between 1962 and 2001, buying the lowest accrual companies and shorting the highest accrual companies resulted in an average annual compounded return of 18%, more than double the S&P 500's 7.4% annual return over the same period.
If the Sloan Ratio is between -10% and 10%, the company is in the safe zone and there is no funny business with accruals.
If the Sloan Ratio is less than between -25% and -10% on the negative side, and between 10% and 25% on the positive side, this is a warning stage of accrual build up.
If the Sloan Ratio is less than -25% or greater than 25%, and this ratio is consistent over several quarters or even years, be careful. Earnings are highly likely to be made up of accruals.
As of Mar. 2026, Moderna has a Sloan Ratio of -24.78%, indicating there is a warning stage of accrual build up.
Moderna Sloan Ratio % Related Terms
Moderna Sloan Ratio % Historical Data
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The historical data trend for Moderna's Sloan Ratio % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
CHIX:0QFD vs BNTX, INSM, INCY: Sloan Ratio % Comparison
For the Biotechnology subindustry, Moderna's Sloan Ratio %, along with its competitors' market caps and Sloan Ratio % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Moderna Sloan Ratio % vs Biotechnology Industry
For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Moderna's Sloan Ratio % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Moderna's Sloan Ratio % falls into.
Earnings contain a lot of non cash earnings which is called accruals. The Sloan ratio is a way to identify firms with low non-cash or accrual-derived earnings relative to their cash flow.
Moderna's Sloan Ratio for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2025 is calculated as
Moderna's Net Income for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 was -715.275 (Jun. 2025 ) + -170.4 (Sep. 2025 ) + -705.404 (Dec. 2025 ) + -1161.695 (Mar. 2026 ) = €-2,753 Mil.
Moderna's Cash Flow from Operations for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 was -796.773 (Jun. 2025 ) + -721.644 (Sep. 2025 ) + 794.22 (Dec. 2025 ) + -544.95 (Mar. 2026 ) = €-1,269 Mil.
Moderna's Cash Flow from Investing for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 was 488.988 (Jun. 2025 ) + 596.4 (Sep. 2025 ) + -40.992 (Dec. 2025 ) + -65.74 (Mar. 2026 ) = €979 Mil.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Moderna (CHIX:0QFD) has a Sloan Ratio % of -24.78% as of Mar. 2026. Sloan ratio measures earnings quality based on the amount of accruals. View historical data on Moderna and its competitors.
Is Moderna's Sloan Ratio % too high?
Moderna's current Sloan Ratio % is -24.78%. Overall, Moderna has a GF Score™ of 67/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Moderna's Sloan Ratio % compare to BNTX and INSM?
Moderna's Sloan Ratio % of -24.78% can be compared against companies in the Biotechnology industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Sloan Ratio % for a Biotechnology company?
A good Sloan Ratio % depends on the Biotechnology industry context. However, Sloan Ratio % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Sloan Ratio % mean?
A high Sloan Ratio % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Sloan ratio measures earnings quality based on the amount of accruals. View historical data on Moderna and its competitors. Moderna's current Sloan Ratio % is -24.78%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Moderna stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Moderna (CHIX:0QFD) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €28.79, compared to a current price of €70.49 — trading 144.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Sloan Ratio % is -24.78%. Moderna's overall GF Score™ is 67/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Sloan Ratio % calculated?
Sloan Ratio % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Moderna (CHIX:0QFD), the current Sloan Ratio % is -24.78% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Moderna (CHIX:0QFD) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Moderna stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of €70.49 is trading 144.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of €28.79.
GuruFocus considers Moderna to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for CHIX:0QFD:
Sloan Ratio %: -24.78%
GF Value™: €28.79 vs. price of €70.49 (144.8% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the CHIX:0QFD stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Moderna is a commercial-stage biotech that was founded in 2010 and had its initial public offering in December 2018. The firm's mRNA technology was rapidly validated with its covid vaccine, which was authorized in the United States in December 2020. Moderna had 35 mRNA development candidates in clinical studies as of August 2025. Programs span a wide range of therapeutic areas, including infectious disease, oncology, cardiovascular disease, and rare genetic diseases.
67GF Score
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