Microsoft (XSWX:MSFT) Shiller PE Ratio: 46.15 (As of Aug. 02, 2026) — 16% Below Median

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XSWX:MSFT Microsoft Corp XSWX:MSFT
99 GF Score
Price CHF366.45
GF Value CHF450.33
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Microsoft Shiller PE Ratio?

Microsoft XSWX:MSFT +0.91% 99 Shiller PE Ratio is 46.15 as of Aug. 02, 2026, which is 16% below its 10-year median of 54.76. GuruFocus rates XSWX:MSFT with a GF Score™ of 99/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF450.33 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,018 Software companies, Microsoft ranks worse than 72.2% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-02), Microsoft's current share price is CHF366.45. Microsoft's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was CHF7.94. Microsoft's Shiller PE Ratio for today is 46.15.

The historical rank and industry rank for Microsoft's Shiller PE Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

XSWX:MSFT' s Shiller PE Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 25.55   Med: 54.76   Max: 85.14
Current: 47.07

During the past years, Microsoft's highest Shiller PE Ratio was 85.14. The lowest was 25.55. And the median was 54.76.

XSWX:MSFT's Shiller PE Ratio is ranked worse than
72.2% of 1018 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 27.36 vs XSWX:MSFT: 47.07

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Microsoft's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was CHF3.845. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our E10, which is CHF7.94 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Microsoft  (XSWX:MSFT) Shiller PE Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PE Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller PE Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller PE Ratio should give similar results to regular PE Ratio.

Compared with the PS Ratio, the Shiller PE Ratio makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company's business model does not work in the future compared with the past, Shiller PE Ratio and PS Ratio will give false valuations.


Microsoft Shiller PE Ratio Related Terms


Microsoft Shiller PE Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Microsoft's Shiller PE Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Microsoft Shiller PE Ratio Chart

Microsoft Annual Data
Trend Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25 Jun26
Shiller PE Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 52.50 59.96 66.78 61.76 37.79

Microsoft Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Shiller PE Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 61.76 61.67 54.89 39.64 37.79

XSWX:MSFT vs ORCL, PLTR, PANW: Shiller PE Ratio Comparison

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Microsoft's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Microsoft Shiller PE Ratio vs Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Microsoft's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Microsoft's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.


XSWX:MSFT
99GF Score
Microsoft Corp XSWX:MSFT
Shiller PE Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Microsoft Shiller PE Ratio Calculation

For Shiller PE Ratio, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller PE Ratio is also called PE10.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Microsoft's Shiller PE Ratio for today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/ E10
=366.45/7.94
=46.15

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Microsoft's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Microsoft's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnings per Share (Diluted)/CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=3.845/333.9520*333.9520
=3.845

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

Microsoft Quarterly Data

Earnings per Share (Diluted) CPI Adj_EPS
201609 0.701 241.428 0.970
201612 0.816 241.432 1.129
201703 0.701 243.801 0.960
201706 0.804 244.955 1.096
201709 0.808 246.819 1.093
201712 -0.809 246.524 -1.096
201803 0.901 249.554 1.206
201806 1.129 251.989 1.496
201809 1.104 252.439 1.460
201812 1.071 251.233 1.424
201903 1.141 254.202 1.499
201906 1.689 256.143 2.202
201909 1.367 256.759 1.778
201912 1.484 256.974 1.929
202003 1.343 258.115 1.738
202006 1.389 257.797 1.799
202009 1.665 260.280 2.136
202012 1.803 260.474 2.312
202103 1.887 264.877 2.379
202106 1.970 271.696 2.421
202109 2.501 274.310 3.045
202112 2.284 278.802 2.736
202203 2.063 287.504 2.396
202206 2.164 296.311 2.439
202209 2.287 296.808 2.573
202212 2.050 296.797 2.307
202303 2.267 301.836 2.508
202306 2.422 305.109 2.651
202309 2.690 307.789 2.919
202312 2.534 306.746 2.759
202403 2.612 312.332 2.793
202406 2.637 314.175 2.803
202409 2.796 315.301 2.961
202412 2.880 315.605 3.047
202503 3.057 319.799 3.192
202506 2.968 322.561 3.073
202509 2.961 324.800 3.044
202512 4.112 324.054 4.238
202603 3.362 330.213 3.400
202606 3.845 333.952 3.845

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Shiller PE Ratio →
What does a Shiller PE Ratio of 46.15 mean?
Microsoft (XSWX:MSFT) has a Shiller PE Ratio of 46.15 as of Aug. 02, 2026. Shiller price-earnings ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted earnings over a 10-year period. View historical data on Microsoft and its competitors. This is 16% below median its historical median of 54.76. Over the past decade, Microsoft's Shiller PE Ratio has ranged from 25.55 to 85.14. According to the industry distribution chart, Microsoft ranks #735 out of 1018 companies in the Software industry, placing it in the top 72.2%.
Is Microsoft's Shiller PE Ratio too high?
Microsoft's current Shiller PE Ratio of 46.15 is 16% below median its 10-year median of 54.76. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 25.55 to a high of 85.14. The Software industry median Shiller PE Ratio is 27.36. Microsoft's value of 46.15 is 68.7% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Microsoft ranks #735 out of 1018 companies in the Software industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Microsoft has a GF Score™ of 99/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Microsoft's Shiller PE Ratio compare to ORCL and PLTR?
According to the Software industry distribution chart, Microsoft ranks #735 out of 1018 companies for Shiller PE Ratio. This places Microsoft in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Shiller PE Ratio is 27.36. Microsoft's value of 46.15 is 68.7% above this benchmark. Historically, Microsoft's own Shiller PE Ratio has ranged from 25.55 to 85.14 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 54.76 vs. the industry median of 27.36, Microsoft has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Shiller PE Ratio for a Software company?
The median Shiller PE Ratio among Software companies is 27.36, based on 1,018 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Shiller PE Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Shiller PE Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Microsoft's current Shiller PE Ratio of 46.15 is 68.7% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Shiller PE Ratio mean?
A high Shiller PE Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Shiller price-earnings ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted earnings over a 10-year period. View historical data on Microsoft and its competitors. For the Software industry, the median Shiller PE Ratio is 27.36 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Microsoft's current Shiller PE Ratio is 46.15, which is 16% below median its own 10-year median of 54.76. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Microsoft stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Microsoft (XSWX:MSFT) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF450.33, compared to a current price of CHF366.45 — trading 18.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Shiller PE Ratio is 46.15, which is 16% below median its 10-year median of 54.76 and 68.7% above the Software industry median of 27.36. Microsoft's overall GF Score™ is 99/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Shiller PE Ratio calculated?
Shiller PE Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Microsoft (XSWX:MSFT), the current Shiller PE Ratio is 46.15 as of Aug. 02, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Microsoft (XSWX:MSFT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Microsoft stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of CHF366.45 is trading 18.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of CHF450.33. GuruFocus considers Microsoft to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:MSFT:

  • Shiller PE Ratio: 46.15 (16% below median its 10-year median of 54.76)
  • GF Value™: CHF450.33 vs. price of CHF366.45 (18.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 99/100 with 2 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 68.7% above the Software median (#735 of 1018)

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:MSFT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Microsoft Business Description

Address One Microsoft Way, Redmond, WA, USA, 98052-6399
Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).
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Shiller PE Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF366.45
Price
CHF450.33
GF Value