Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index, it shows how the price swings around its mean. The volatility here is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. In most cases, the higher the volatility, the riskier the security.
As of today (2026-06-24), Novartis AG's Volatility is 19.28%.
Novartis AG (FRA:NOT) Volatility Explanation
Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index. It’s often measured as standard deviation or variance of historical returns over a certain period. The volatility here is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year.
Volatility reflects the uncertainty or risk of a security’s value. Generally speaking, a higher volatility suggests a higher risk, because it implies a wider fluctuation around average price. This means the price of the security can change dramatically in either direction within a short period. Conversely, a lower volatility means that the security's price is more steady, which suggests a lower risk.
Another measurement of relative volatility is Beta. Beta is a measure of systematic risk of a security or a portfolio in comparison to the market as a whole. Beta is usually compared to 1. A beta of greater than 1 indicates that the security's price will be more volatile than the market.
Novartis AG Volatility Related Terms
FRA:NOT vs LLY, JNJ, ABBV: Volatility Comparison
For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, Novartis AG's Volatility, along with its competitors' market caps and Volatility data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Novartis AG Volatility vs Drug Manufacturers Industry
For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Novartis AG's Volatility distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Novartis AG's Volatility falls into.
The annualized volatility is calculated as following:
σA
=
σM
*
√12
=
√ 1/(n-1) ∑(Ri - R')^2
*
√12
Where: σM is the monthly volatility, n is the number of months in the period, Ri is the security's historical monthly returns and R' is the arithmetic mean of monthly returns.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Novartis AG (FRA:NOT) has a Volatility of 19.28% as of Jun. 24, 2026. Volatility is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. View historical data on Novartis AG and its competitors.
Is Novartis AG's Volatility too high?
Novartis AG's current Volatility is 19.28%. Overall, Novartis AG has a GF Score™ of 83/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Novartis AG's Volatility compare to LLY and JNJ?
Novartis AG's Volatility of 19.28% can be compared against companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Volatility for a Drug Manufacturers company?
A good Volatility depends on the Drug Manufacturers industry context. However, Volatility should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Volatility mean?
A high Volatility can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Volatility is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. View historical data on Novartis AG and its competitors. Novartis AG's current Volatility is 19.28%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Novartis AG stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Novartis AG (FRA:NOT) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €109.77, compared to a current price of €131.52 — trading 19.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Volatility is 19.28%. Novartis AG's overall GF Score™ is 83/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Volatility calculated?
Volatility is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Novartis AG (FRA:NOT), the current Volatility is 19.28% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Novartis AG (FRA:NOT) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Novartis AG stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of €131.52 is trading 19.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of €109.77.
GuruFocus considers Novartis AG to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for FRA:NOT:
Volatility: 19.28%
GF Value™: €109.77 vs. price of €131.52 (19.8% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:NOT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Novartis develops and manufactures innovative drugs. Key areas of drug development are oncology, immunology, neuroscience, respiratory, and cardiovascular, renal, and metabolic. It also has an established medicines business, which includes off-patent franchises. The company sells its products globally, with the United States constituting close to one-third of total revenue.
83GF Score
Get the complete analysis for FRA:NOT
Volatility is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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