Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.
Warning Sign:
Algoma Steel Group has a Altman Z2-Score of -4.08, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Algoma Steel Group's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:
ASTL'
s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.1 Med: 4.1 Max: 7.98
Current: -4.1
During the past 6 years, Algoma Steel Group's highest Altman Z2-Score was 7.98. The lowest was -4.10. And the median was 4.10.
Algoma Steel Group (NAS:ASTL) Altman Z2-Score Explanation
The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Algoma Steel Group Altman Z2-Score Related Terms
Algoma Steel Group Altman Z2-Score Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Algoma Steel Group's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Steel subindustry, Algoma Steel Group's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Algoma Steel Group Altman Z2-Score vs Steel Industry
For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Algoma Steel Group's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Algoma Steel Group's Altman Z2-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.
Algoma Steel Group's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
6.56
*
X1
+
3.26
*
X2
+
6.72
*
X3
+
1.05
*
X4_2
=
6.56
*
0.2801
+
3.26
*
-0.5281
+
6.72
*
-0.6565
+
1.05
*
0.2088
=
-4.08
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.
Algoma Steel Group (ASTL) has a Altman Z2-Score of -4.08 as of Jun. 24, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Algoma Steel Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Algoma Steel Group ranks #608 out of 633 companies in the Steel industry, placing it in the top 96.1%.
Is Algoma Steel Group's Altman Z2-Score too high?
Algoma Steel Group's current Altman Z2-Score is -4.08. Based on the distribution chart, Algoma Steel Group ranks #608 out of 633 companies in the Steel industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Algoma Steel Group has a GF Score™ of 59/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Algoma Steel Group's Altman Z2-Score compare to NUE and STLD?
According to the Steel industry distribution chart, Algoma Steel Group ranks #608 out of 633 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This places Algoma Steel Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 3.46. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for a Steel company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Steel companies is 3.46, based on 633 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Algoma Steel Group and its competitors. For the Steel industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 3.46 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Algoma Steel Group's current Altman Z2-Score is -4.08. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Algoma Steel Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Algoma Steel Group (ASTL) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $5.50, compared to a current price of $3.99 — trading 27.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z2-Score is -4.08. Algoma Steel Group's overall GF Score™ is 59/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Algoma Steel Group (ASTL), the current Altman Z2-Score is -4.08 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Algoma Steel Group (ASTL) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Algoma Steel Group stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $3.99 is trading 27.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of $5.50.
GuruFocus considers Algoma Steel Group to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for ASTL:
Altman Z2-Score: -4.08
GF Value™: $5.50 vs. price of $3.99 (27.5% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ASTL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Algoma Steel Group Inc is a fully integrated steel producer of hot and cold rolled steel products, including coiled sheet and plate, strategically located. The firm operates in a single segment of basic steel production including sheets, plates, slabs, and freights. The company's revenue is generated from contracts to produce, ship, and deliver steel products Geographically it serves Canada, the United States, and the rest of the world, whilst driving key revenue from United States. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the sale of Steel sheets and strips.
59GF Score
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