The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Warning Sign:
Altman Z-score of -1.42 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.
Algoma Steel Group has a Altman Z-Score of -1.43, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Algoma Steel Group's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
ASTL'
s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1.43 Med: 2.41 Max: 4.68
Current: -1.42
During the past 6 years, Algoma Steel Group's highest Altman Z-Score was 4.68. The lowest was -1.43. And the median was 2.41.
Algoma Steel Group (NAS:ASTL) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Algoma Steel Group Altman Z-Score Related Terms
Algoma Steel Group Altman Z-Score Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Algoma Steel Group's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Steel subindustry, Algoma Steel Group's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Algoma Steel Group Altman Z-Score vs Steel Industry
For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Algoma Steel Group's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Algoma Steel Group's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Algoma Steel Group's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
0.2801
+
1.4
*
-0.5281
+
3.3
*
-0.6565
+
0.6
*
0.3515
+
1.0
*
0.9295
=
-1.43
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Algoma Steel Group (ASTL) has a Altman Z-Score of -1.43 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Algoma Steel Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Algoma Steel Group ranks #599 out of 615 companies in the Steel industry, placing it in the top 97.4%.
Is Algoma Steel Group's Altman Z-Score too high?
Algoma Steel Group's current Altman Z-Score is -1.43. Based on the distribution chart, Algoma Steel Group ranks #599 out of 615 companies in the Steel industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Algoma Steel Group has a GF Score™ of 59/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Algoma Steel Group's Altman Z-Score compare to NUE and STLD?
According to the Steel industry distribution chart, Algoma Steel Group ranks #599 out of 615 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Algoma Steel Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.47. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Steel company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Steel companies is 2.47, based on 615 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Algoma Steel Group and its competitors. For the Steel industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.47 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Algoma Steel Group's current Altman Z-Score is -1.43. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Algoma Steel Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Algoma Steel Group (ASTL) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $5.50, compared to a current price of $3.99 — trading 27.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is -1.43. Algoma Steel Group's overall GF Score™ is 59/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Algoma Steel Group (ASTL), the current Altman Z-Score is -1.43 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Algoma Steel Group (ASTL) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Algoma Steel Group stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $3.99 is trading 27.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of $5.50.
GuruFocus considers Algoma Steel Group to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for ASTL:
Altman Z-Score: -1.43
GF Value™: $5.50 vs. price of $3.99 (27.5% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ASTL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Algoma Steel Group Inc is a fully integrated steel producer of hot and cold rolled steel products, including coiled sheet and plate, strategically located. The firm operates in a single segment of basic steel production including sheets, plates, slabs, and freights. The company's revenue is generated from contracts to produce, ship, and deliver steel products Geographically it serves Canada, the United States, and the rest of the world, whilst driving key revenue from United States. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the sale of Steel sheets and strips.
59GF Score
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