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Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.
Warning Sign:
First Watch Restaurant Group has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.39, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for First Watch Restaurant Group's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 6 years, First Watch Restaurant Group's highest Altman Z2-Score was 0.65. The lowest was -0.11. And the median was 0.57.
The historical data trend for First Watch Restaurant Group's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
First Watch Restaurant Group Annual Data | |||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | Dec24 | |||||||||
Altman Z2-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | -0.11 | 0.60 | 0.57 | 0.65 | 0.39 |
First Watch Restaurant Group Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Dec19 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | Mar24 | Jun24 | Sep24 | Dec24 | |
Altman Z2-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial |
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0.65 | 0.68 | 0.57 | 0.50 | 0.39 |
For the Restaurants subindustry, First Watch Restaurant Group's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, First Watch Restaurant Group's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where First Watch Restaurant Group's Altman Z2-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.
First Watch Restaurant Group's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z | = | 6.56 | * | X1 | + | 3.26 | * | X2 | + | 6.72 | * | X3 | + | 1.05 | * | X4_2 |
= | 6.56 | * | -0.0545 | + | 3.26 | * | -0.0355 | + | 6.72 | * | 0.0269 | + | 1.05 | * | 0.6479 | |
= | 0.39 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2024:
Total Assets was $1,514 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $56 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $138 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-54 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 0.738 + 3.496 + 13.779 + 10.013 = $28 Mil.
Interest Expense was -3.219 + -3.441 + -3.381 + -2.599 = $-13 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $919 Mil.
* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.
X1 | = | Working Capital | / | Total Assets |
= | (Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities) | / | Total Assets | |
= | (55.876 - 138.472) | / | 1514.356 | |
= | -0.0545 |
X2 | = | Retained Earnings | / | Total Assets |
= | -53.822 | / | 1514.356 | |
= | -0.0355 |
X3 | = | Earnings Before Interest and Taxes | / | Total Assets |
= | (Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense) | / | Total Assets | |
= | (28.026 - -12.64) | / | 1514.356 | |
= | 0.0269 |
X4_2 | = | Net Worth | / | Total Liabilities |
= | (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock) | / | Total Liabilities | |
= | (595.389 - 0) | / | 918.967 | |
= | 0.6479 |
The zones of discrimination were as such:
Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones
First Watch Restaurant Group has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.39 indicating it is in Distress Zones.
First Watch Restaurant Group (NAS:FWRG) Altman Z2-Score Explanation
The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.
Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.
Be Aware
Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of First Watch Restaurant Group's Altman Z2-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Matthew Eisenacher | officer: Chief Brand Officer | 8725 PENDERY PLACE, STE. 201, BRADENTON FL 34201 |
Hope H Melville Iii | officer: CFO and Treasurer | AFC ENTERPRISES INC, SIX CONCOURSE PKWY STE 1700, ATLANTA GA 30328-5352 |
Jay Anthony Wolszczak | officer: General Counsel and Secretary | C/O FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP, INC., 8725 PENDERY PLACE, SUITE 201, BRADENTON FL 34201 |
Christopher Anthony Tomasso | director, officer: President and CEO | C/O FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP, INC., 8725 PENDERY PLACE, SUITE 201, BRADENTON FL 34201 |
Eric Richard Hartman | officer: Chief Development Officer | C/O FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP, INC., 8725 PENDERY PLACE, SUITE 201, BRADENTON FL 34201 |
Laura Anne Sorensen | officer: Chief People Officer | C/O FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP, INC., 8725 PENDERY PLACE, SUITE 201, BRADENTON FL 34201 |
John Daniel Jones | officer: Chief Operations Officer | C/O FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP, INC., 8725 PENDERY PLACE, SUITE 201, BRADENTON FL 34201 |
Advent International Gpe Viii-i Limited Partnership | 10 percent owner | 800 BOYLSTON STREET, SUITE 3300, BOSTON MA 02199 |
Advent International Corp/ma | 10 percent owner | 800 BOYLSTON STREET SUITE 3300, BOSTON MA 02199 |
Advent Partners Gpe Viii Limited Partnership | 10 percent owner | C/O ADVENT INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION, 800 BOYLSON STREET, SUITE 3300, BOSTON MA 02199 |
William A Kussell | director | C/O ADVENT INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION, 75 STATE STREET 29TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02109 |
David Paresky | director | ADVENT INTERNATIONAL, PRUDENTIAL TOWER, 800 BOYLSTON STREET, BOSTON MA 02199 |
Tricia Glynn | director | C/O ADVENT INERNATIONAL CORPORATION, PRUDENTIAL TOWER, 800 BOYLSTON STREET, BOSTON MA 02199 |
Irene Chang Britt | director | CAMPBELL SOUP COMPANY, ONE CAMPBELL PLACE, CAMDEN NJ 08103 |
Advent International Gp, Llc | 10 percent owner | 800 BOYLSTON STREET SUITE 3300, BOSTON MA 02199 |
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