Mercury Systems (MEX:MRCY) Altman Z2-Score: 3.81 (As of Jun. 25, 2026) — 16% Below Median


MEX:MRCY Mercury Systems Inc MEX:MRCY
35 GF Score
Price MXN1,937.83
GF Value MXN791.56
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Mercury Systems Altman Z2-Score?

Mercury Systems MEX:MRCY 35 Altman Z2-Score is 3.81 as of Jun. 25, 2026, which is 16% below its 10-year median of 4.51. GuruFocus rates MEX:MRCY with a GF Score™ of 35/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN791.56 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 346 Aerospace & Defense companies, Mercury Systems ranks better than 54.91% on this metric.

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Good Sign:

Mercury Systems has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.81, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Mercury Systems's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:MRCY' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.56   Med: 4.51   Max: 13.29
Current: 3.81

During the past 13 years, Mercury Systems's highest Altman Z2-Score was 13.29. The lowest was 3.56. And the median was 4.51.


Mercury Systems  (MEX:MRCY) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Mercury Systems Altman Z2-Score Related Terms


Mercury Systems Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Mercury Systems's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Mercury Systems Altman Z2-Score Chart

Mercury Systems Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.85 4.49 4.35 3.56 3.85

Mercury Systems Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.62 3.85 3.80 3.62 3.81

MEX:MRCY vs HXL, LUNR, LOAR: Altman Z2-Score Comparison

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Mercury Systems's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mercury Systems Altman Z2-Score vs Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Mercury Systems's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mercury Systems's Altman Z2-Score falls into.


MEX:MRCY
35GF Score
Mercury Systems Inc MEX:MRCY
Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Mercury Systems Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Mercury Systems's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.3088+3.26*0.061+6.72*0.0058+1.05*1.4723
=3.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was MXN44,744 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN20,138 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN6,320 Mil.
Retained Earnings was MXN2,731 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -48.454 + -314.362 + -303.34 + 354.309 = MXN-312 Mil.
Interest Expense was -132.198 + -141.327 + -144.662 + -151.123 = MXN-569 Mil.
Total Liabilities was MXN18,098 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(20137.675 - 6320.389)/44744.304
=0.3088

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=2730.584/44744.304
=0.061

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-311.847 - -569.31)/44744.304
=0.0058

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(26646.416 - 0)/18097.888
=1.4723

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Mercury Systems has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.81 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z2-Score →
What does a Altman Z2-Score of 3.81 mean?
Mercury Systems (MEX:MRCY) has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.81 as of Jun. 25, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Mercury Systems and its competitors. This is 16% below median its historical median of 4.51. Over the past decade, Mercury Systems' Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 3.56 to 13.29. According to the industry distribution chart, Mercury Systems ranks #156 out of 346 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, placing it in the top 45.1%.
Is Mercury Systems' Altman Z2-Score too high?
Mercury Systems' current Altman Z2-Score of 3.81 is 16% below median its 10-year median of 4.51. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 3.56 to a high of 13.29. The Aerospace & Defense industry median Altman Z2-Score is 3.20. Mercury Systems' value of 3.81 is 19.1% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Mercury Systems ranks #156 out of 346 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Mercury Systems has a GF Score™ of 35/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Mercury Systems' Altman Z2-Score compare to HXL and LUNR?
According to the Aerospace & Defense industry distribution chart, Mercury Systems ranks #156 out of 346 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This puts Mercury Systems in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 3.20. Mercury Systems' value of 3.81 is 19.1% above this benchmark. Historically, Mercury Systems' own Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 3.56 to 13.29 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 4.51 vs. the industry median of 3.20, Mercury Systems has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for an Aerospace & Defense company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Aerospace & Defense companies is 3.20, based on 346 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Mercury Systems's current Altman Z2-Score of 3.81 is 19.1% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Mercury Systems and its competitors. For the Aerospace & Defense industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 3.20 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Mercury Systems's current Altman Z2-Score is 3.81, which is 16% below median its own 10-year median of 4.51. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Mercury Systems stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mercury Systems (MEX:MRCY) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN791.56, compared to a current price of MXN1,937.83 — trading 144.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z2-Score is 3.81, which is 16% below median its 10-year median of 4.51 and 19.1% above the Aerospace & Defense industry median of 3.20. Mercury Systems' overall GF Score™ is 35/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Mercury Systems (MEX:MRCY), the current Altman Z2-Score is 3.81 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Mercury Systems (MEX:MRCY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mercury Systems stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN1,937.83 is trading 144.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN791.56. GuruFocus considers Mercury Systems to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:MRCY:

  • Altman Z2-Score: 3.81 (16% below median its 10-year median of 4.51)
  • GF Value™: MXN791.56 vs. price of MXN1,937.83 (144.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 35/100 with 4 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 19.1% above the Aerospace & Defense median (#156 of 346)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:MRCY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Mercury Systems Business Description

Other Exchanges MRCY:USAMCY:Germany
Address 50 Minuteman Road, Andover, MA, USA, 01810
Mercury Systems Inc is a commercial technology company serving the aerospace and defense industry. The company envisions, creates, and delivers secure open architecture solutions powering a broad range of mission-critical applications in challenging and demanding environments. Its Mercury Processing Platform spans the full breadth of signal processing from radio frequency front end to the human-machine interface to convert meaningful data, gathered in remote and hostile environments, into critical decisions. The company manufactures components, products, modules, and subsystems and sells to defense prime contractors, the U.S. government, original equipment manufacturers, and commercial aerospace companies. Geographically, it derives maximum revenue from the United States.
35GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:MRCY

Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN1,937.83
Price
MXN791.56
GF Value