GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical » Urban Outfitters Inc (BUE:URBN) » Definitions » Altman Z-Score

Urban Outfitters (BUE:URBN) Altman Z-Score : 2.78 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2019. Start your Free Trial

What is Urban Outfitters Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 3.46 is strong.

Urban Outfitters has a Altman Z-Score of 2.78, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Urban Outfitters is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Urban Outfitters's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BUE:URBN' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.44   Med: 4.73   Max: 8.55
Current: 3.46

During the past 13 years, Urban Outfitters's highest Altman Z-Score was 8.55. The lowest was 2.44. And the median was 4.73.


Urban Outfitters Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Urban Outfitters's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Urban Outfitters Altman Z-Score Chart

Urban Outfitters Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.02 2.44 3.11 3.11 3.42

Urban Outfitters Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.11 3.08 3.33 3.28 3.42

Competitive Comparison of Urban Outfitters's Altman Z-Score

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Urban Outfitters's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Urban Outfitters's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Urban Outfitters's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Urban Outfitters's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Urban Outfitters Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Urban Outfitters's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0701+1.4*0.5141+3.3*0.0414+0.6*1.9679+1.0*0.6539
=2.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jan. 2024:
Total Assets was ARS3,323,707 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ARS1,036,840 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ARS803,765 Mil.
Retained Earnings was ARS1,708,849 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 51761.01 + 38389.049 + 34782.081 + 12804.21 = ARS137,736 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ARS0 Mil.
Revenue was 1201513.515 + 448410.893 + 326572.471 + 196951.961 = ARS2,173,449 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was ARS3,179,781 Mil.
Total Liabilities was ARS1,615,824 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1036839.53 - 803765.016)/3323706.85
=0.0701

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=1708849.027/3323706.85
=0.5141

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(137736.35 - 0)/3323706.85
=0.0414

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=3179780.766/1615823.921
=1.9679

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=2173448.84/3323706.85
=0.6539

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Urban Outfitters has a Altman Z-Score of 2.78 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Urban Outfitters  (BUE:URBN) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Urban Outfitters Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Urban Outfitters's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Urban Outfitters (BUE:URBN) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
5000 South Broad Street, Philadelphia, PA, USA, 19112-1495
Founded in 1970, Philadelphia-based Urban Outfitters is an apparel and home goods retailer that operates about 700 stores and e-commerce in North America (87% of fiscal 2023 sales) and other regions. Its retail nameplates are Urban Outfitters, Free People, FP Movement, and Anthropologie. Retail accounted for 92% of fiscal 2023 revenue, but the firm also sells products through a wholesale operation, owns some restaurants, and operates a clothing rental and resale business called Nuuly. Urban Outfitters primarily markets to young adults and offers products in categories such as apparel (63% of fiscal 2023 sales), home goods (19% of sales), accessories (13% of sales), and more.