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PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk (ISX:GOTO) Altman Z-Score : -7.94 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)


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What is PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of -8.12 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk has a Altman Z-Score of -7.94, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:GOTO' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -8.12   Med: -2.79   Max: 1.6
Current: -8.12

During the past 6 years, PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.60. The lowest was -8.12. And the median was -2.79.


PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk Altman Z-Score Chart

PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - 1.60 -7.17

PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk Quarterly Data
Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.60 2.51 2.54 1.58 -7.17

Competitive Comparison of PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk's Altman Z-Score

For the Software - Application subindustry, PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk's Altman Z-Score falls into.



PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.3844+1.4*-3.8621+3.3*-1.6688+0.6*3.7283+1.0*0.2733
=-7.94

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was Rp54,097,256 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp33,617,291 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp12,822,544 Mil.
Retained Earnings was Rp-208,928,904 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -80760423 + -2417368 + -3321507 + -4135120 = Rp-90,634,418 Mil.
Interest Expense was -124776 + -75404 + -87543 + -70054 = Rp-357,777 Mil.
Revenue was 4274773 + 3627093 + 3551196 + 3332430 = Rp14,785,492 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was Rp68,515,741 Mil.
Total Liabilities was Rp18,377,256 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(33617291 - 12822544)/54097256
=0.3844

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-208928904/54097256
=-3.8621

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-90634418 - -357777)/54097256
=-1.6688

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=68515740.762/18377256
=3.7283

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=14785492/54097256
=0.2733

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk has a Altman Z-Score of -7.94 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk  (ISX:GOTO) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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PT Goto Gojek Tokopedia Tbk (ISX:GOTO) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Jalan Iskandarsyah II No. 2, Gedung Pasaraya Blok M, 6-7th Floor, Jakarta, IDN, 12160
GoTo is an Indonesian ecosystem that combines e-commerce, ride-hailing, delivery, and financial services under one app. The company operates primarily in Indonesia and is the product of a merger between Gojek and Tokopedia in May 2021. The company has 64 million active paying users and 12 million merchants as of 2022 on its platform. In 2022, on-demand accounted for 55% of revenue, e-commerce for 37%, and financial services for 8%. However, 82% of nonfinancial services gross transactional value comes from e-commerce, as it is the focal point in the ecosystem. The company competes with giants such as Sea-backed Shopee, Alibaba's Lazada, and smaller peers such as Bukalapak in e-commerce—and with Grab in the ride-hailing and delivery business.

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