Elastic NV (MEX:ESTCN) Altman Z-Score: 2.37 (As of Jun. 26, 2026) — 35% Below Median


MEX:ESTCN Elastic NV MEX:ESTCN
72 GF Score
Price MXN1,021.21
GF Value MXN1,970.78
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Elastic NV Altman Z-Score?

Elastic NV MEX:ESTCN 72 Altman Z-Score is 2.37 as of Jun. 26, 2026, which is 35% below its 10-year median of 3.67. GuruFocus rates MEX:ESTCN with a GF Score™ of 72/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN1,970.78 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 2,765 Software companies, Elastic NV ranks worse than 58.05% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.34 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Elastic NV has a Altman Z-Score of 2.37, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Elastic NV is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Elastic NV's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:ESTCN' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1.61   Med: 3.67   Max: 16.52
Current: 2.34

During the past 10 years, Elastic NV's highest Altman Z-Score was 16.52. The lowest was -1.61. And the median was 3.67.


Elastic NV  (MEX:ESTCN) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Elastic NV Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Elastic NV Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Elastic NV's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Elastic NV Altman Z-Score Chart

Elastic NV Annual Data
Trend Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23 Apr24 Apr25 Apr26
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.39 2.28 4.30 3.67 2.12

Elastic NV Quarterly Data
Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26 Apr26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.67 3.92 4.03 2.95 2.12

MEX:ESTCN vs TTAN, IDCC, PAYC: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Software - Application subindustry, Elastic NV's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Elastic NV Altman Z-Score vs Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Elastic NV's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Elastic NV's Altman Z-Score falls into.


MEX:ESTCN
72GF Score
Elastic NV MEX:ESTCN
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Elastic NV Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Elastic NV's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2596+1.4*-0.2322+3.3*0.0075+0.6*2.989+1.0*0.5679
=2.37

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Apr. 2026:
Total Assets was MXN55,223 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN35,440 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN21,106 Mil.
Retained Earnings was MXN-12,821 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -171.045 + 106.958 + 24.259 + -0.169 = MXN-40 Mil.
Interest Expense was -109.388 + -108.503 + -116.695 + -119.38 = MXN-454 Mil.
Revenue was 7894.173 + 7805.12 + 7854.09 + 7806.169 = MXN31,360 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was MXN98,227 Mil.
Total Liabilities was MXN32,863 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(35439.677 - 21105.517)/55222.588
=0.2596

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-12820.997/55222.588
=-0.2322

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-39.997 - -453.966)/55222.588
=0.0075

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=98227.066/32863.286
=2.989

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=31359.552/55222.588
=0.5679

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Elastic NV has a Altman Z-Score of 2.37 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 2.37 mean?
Elastic NV (MEX:ESTCN) has a Altman Z-Score of 2.37 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Elastic NV and its competitors. This is 35% below median its historical median of 3.67. According to the industry distribution chart, Elastic NV ranks #1605 out of 2765 companies in the Software industry, placing it in the top 58%.
Is Elastic NV's Altman Z-Score too high?
Elastic NV's current Altman Z-Score of 2.37 is 35% below median its 10-year median of 3.67. The Software industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.13. Elastic NV's value of 2.37 is 24.3% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Elastic NV ranks #1605 out of 2765 companies in the Software industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Elastic NV has a GF Score™ of 72/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Elastic NV's Altman Z-Score compare to TTAN and IDCC?
According to the Software industry distribution chart, Elastic NV ranks #1605 out of 2765 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Elastic NV in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.13. Elastic NV's value of 2.37 is 24.3% below this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 3.67 vs. the industry median of 3.13, Elastic NV has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Software company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Software companies is 3.13, based on 2,765 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Elastic NV's current Altman Z-Score of 2.37 is 24.3% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Elastic NV and its competitors. For the Software industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 3.13 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Elastic NV's current Altman Z-Score is 2.37, which is 35% below median its own 10-year median of 3.67. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Elastic NV stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Elastic NV (MEX:ESTCN) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN1,970.78, compared to a current price of MXN1,021.21 — trading 48.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 2.37, which is 35% below median its 10-year median of 3.67 and 24.3% below the Software industry median of 3.13. Elastic NV's overall GF Score™ is 72/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Elastic NV (MEX:ESTCN), the current Altman Z-Score is 2.37 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Elastic NV (MEX:ESTCN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Elastic NV stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN1,021.21 is trading 48.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN1,970.78. GuruFocus considers Elastic NV to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:ESTCN:

  • Altman Z-Score: 2.37 (35% below median its 10-year median of 3.67)
  • GF Value™: MXN1,970.78 vs. price of MXN1,021.21 (48.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 72/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 24.3% below the Software median (#1605 of 2765)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:ESTCN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Elastic NV Business Description

Address Keizersgracht 281, Amsterdam, NH, NLD, 1016 ED
Elastic is a software company that specializes in AI-search, observability, and security deployments. Its search division offers both traditional keyword search and vector search methods to enable more context-aware querying. The software has open-source origins but generates revenue through valuable add-ons, including simplified data orchestration and server scaling techniques.
72GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:ESTCN

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN1,021.21
Price
MXN1,970.78
GF Value