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Warrior Met CoalMEX:HCC 85 Altman Z-Score is 7.06 as of Aug. 13, 2026, which is 53% above its 10-year median of 4.60. GuruFocus rates MEX:HCC with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN1,095.97. The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 610 Steel companies, Warrior Met Coal ranks better than 90.66% on this metric.
The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Good Sign:
Altman Z-score of 7.14 is strong.
Warrior Met Coal has a Altman Z-Score of 7.06, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Warrior Met Coal's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
MEX:HCC'
s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.28 Med: 4.6 Max: 7.14
Current: 7.14
During the past 11 years, Warrior Met Coal's highest Altman Z-Score was 7.14. The lowest was 0.28. And the median was 4.60.
Warrior Met Coal (MEX:HCC) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Warrior Met Coal Altman Z-Score Related Terms
Warrior Met Coal Altman Z-Score Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Warrior Met Coal's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
MEX:HCC vs AMR, SXC, METC: Altman Z-Score Comparison
For the Coking Coal subindustry, Warrior Met Coal's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Warrior Met Coal Altman Z-Score vs Steel Industry
For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Warrior Met Coal's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Warrior Met Coal's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Warrior Met Coal's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
0.2358
+
1.4
*
0.7039
+
3.3
*
0.0853
+
0.6
*
8.1904
+
1.0
*
0.5948
=
7.06
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Warrior Met Coal (MEX:HCC) has a Altman Z-Score of 7.06 as of Aug. 13, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Warrior Met Coal and its competitors. This is 53% above median its historical median of 4.60. Over the past decade, Warrior Met Coal's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.28 to 7.14. According to the industry distribution chart, Warrior Met Coal ranks #57 out of 610 companies in the Steel industry, placing it in the top 9.3%.
Is Warrior Met Coal's Altman Z-Score too high?
Warrior Met Coal's current Altman Z-Score of 7.06 is 53% above median its 10-year median of 4.60. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.28 to a high of 7.14. The Steel industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.47. Warrior Met Coal's value of 7.06 is 185.8% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Warrior Met Coal ranks #57 out of 610 companies in the Steel industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Warrior Met Coal has a GF Score™ of 85/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Warrior Met Coal's Altman Z-Score compare to AMR and SXC?
According to the Steel industry distribution chart, Warrior Met Coal ranks #57 out of 610 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Warrior Met Coal in the top 9% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.47. Warrior Met Coal's value of 7.06 is 185.8% above this benchmark. Historically, Warrior Met Coal's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.28 to 7.14 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 4.60 vs. the industry median of 2.47, Warrior Met Coal has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Steel company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Steel companies is 2.47, based on 610 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Warrior Met Coal's current Altman Z-Score of 7.06 is 185.8% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Warrior Met Coal and its competitors. For the Steel industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.47 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Warrior Met Coal's current Altman Z-Score is 7.06, which is 53% above median its own 10-year median of 4.60. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Warrior Met Coal stock overvalued right now?
Warrior Met Coal (MEX:HCC) has a current Altman Z-Score of 7.06. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN1,095.97, compared to a current price of MXN1,589.00 — trading 45% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 7.06, which is 53% above median its 10-year median of 4.60 and 185.8% above the Steel industry median of 2.47. Warrior Met Coal's overall GF Score™ is 85/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Warrior Met Coal (MEX:HCC), the current Altman Z-Score is 7.06 as of Aug. 13, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Warrior Met Coal (MEX:HCC) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Warrior Met Coal stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of MXN1,589.00 is trading 45% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN1,095.97.
Key valuation signals for MEX:HCC:
Altman Z-Score: 7.06 (53% above median its 10-year median of 4.60)
GF Value™: MXN1,095.97 vs. price of MXN1,589.00 (45% above fair value)
Industry Position: 185.8% above the Steel median (#57 of 610)
No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:HCC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Warrior Met Coal Inc produces and exports met or steelmaking coal, which is used as a component for steel production by metal manufacturers in Europe, South America, and Asia. The company is involved in longwall mining operations in its underground mines based in Alabama, Mine No. 4, Mine No. 7, and Blue Creek. Additionally, its natural gas operations remove and sell natural gas from owned and leased coal seams by reducing natural gas levels in its mines. The company generates revenue mainly through the production of steelmaking coal for sale to the steel industry. Geographically, the firm generates maximum revenue from its customers in Asia, followed by Europe, South America, and the United States.
85GF Score
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