GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Aerospace & Defense » Astronics Corp (NAS:ATRO) » Definitions » Altman Z-Score

Astronics (Astronics) Altman Z-Score

: 2.88 (As of Today)
View and export this data going back to 1984. Start your Free Trial

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.91 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Astronics has a Altman Z-Score of 2.88, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Astronics is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Astronics's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ATRO' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.09   Med: 3.7   Max: 4.7
Current: 2.91

During the past 13 years, Astronics's highest Altman Z-Score was 4.70. The lowest was 2.09. And the median was 3.70.


Astronics Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Astronics's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Astronics Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.73 2.09 2.36 2.26 2.94

Astronics Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.26 1.93 2.21 2.19 2.94

Competitive Comparison

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Astronics's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Astronics Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Astronics's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Astronics's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Astronics Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Astronics's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.3888+1.4*0.3309+3.3*-0.0047+0.6*1.4598+1.0*1.0874
=2.88

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $633.8 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $389.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $143.3 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $209.8 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 1.534 + -20.818 + -3.902 + -3.125 = $-26.3 Mil.
Interest Expense was -5.947 + -5.991 + -5.92 + -5.47 = $-23.3 Mil.
Revenue was 195.292 + 162.922 + 174.454 + 156.538 = $689.2 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $561.0 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $384.3 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(389.782 - 143.334)/633.792
=0.3888

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=209.753/633.792
=0.3309

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-26.311 - -23.328)/633.792
=-0.0047

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=560.973/384.274
=1.4598

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=689.206/633.792
=1.0874

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Astronics has a Altman Z-Score of 2.88 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Astronics  (NAS:ATRO) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Astronics Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Astronics's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Astronics (Astronics) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
130 Commerce Way, East Aurora, NY, USA, 14052
Astronics Corp supplies products to the aerospace, defense, and other industries. The company has two reportable segments namely Aerospace and Test Systems. The aerospace segment serves three primary markets: military, commercial transport and business jet markets. Test Systems segment serves the aerospace, defense, and semiconductor markets. The company generates a majority of its revenue from the Aerospace segment. Geographically, it generates a majority of its revenue from the United States.
Executives
Robert S Keane director, 10 percent owner CIMPRESS PLC, 275 WYMAN STREET, WALTHAM MA 02451
Linda O'brien director 6124 FOREST HIGHLANDS DR., FORT WORTH TX 76132
Warren C Johnson director P.O. BOX 189, 13133 BEAR ROAD, WALES CENTER NY 14169
Nancy L Hedges officer: Principal Accounting Officer 130 COMMERCE WAY, EAST AURORA NY 14052
Jeffry D Frisby director C/O QUAKER CHEMICAL CORPORATION, ONE QUAKER PARK, 901 HECTOR STREET, CONSHOHOCKEN PA 19428
James Mulato other: Pres Astronics Test Systems 4 GOODYEAR, IRVINE CA 92677
Mark Peabody officer: VP Astronics Advanced Electron 130 COMMERCE WAY, EAST AURORA NY 14052
Tonit M Calaway director HARLEY-DAVIDSON MOTOR COMPANY, 3700 WEST JUNEAU AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
David C Burney officer: VP-Finance, Treasurer 130 COMMERCE WAY, EAST AURORA NY 14052
Michael C Kuehn officer: Executive Vice President 130 COMMERCE WAY, EAST AURORA NY 14052
Mark J Moran director 1600 SMITH STREET, HQSEO, HOUSTON TX 77002
James S Kramer officer: VP Luminescent Systems, Inc. 130 COMMERCE WAY, EAST AURORA NY 14052
Peter J Gundermann director 130 COMMERCE WAY, EAST AURORA NY 14052
Robert J Mckenna director 38 QUARTERMASTER DRIVE, SALEM SC 29676
5096 Saranac Llc 10 percent owner 1801 ELMWOOD AVENUE, SUITE 1, BUFFALO NY 14207-2463