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Shoe Carnival Altman Z-Score

: 5.73 (As of Today)
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Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 5.68 is strong.

Shoe Carnival has a Altman Z-Score of 5.73, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Shoe Carnival's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NAS:SCVL' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.12   Med: 5.29   Max: 7.83
Current: 5.68

3.12
7.83

During the past 13 years, Shoe Carnival's highest Altman Z-Score was 7.83. The lowest was 3.12. And the median was 5.29.


Shoe Carnival Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Shoe Carnival's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Shoe Carnival Annual Data
Trend Jan12 Jan13 Jan14 Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.10 6.76 7.83 4.13 4.13

Shoe Carnival Quarterly Data
Jan17 Apr17 Jul17 Oct17 Jan18 Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.76 4.13 4.53 4.92 5.49

Competitive Comparison

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Shoe Carnival's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Shoe Carnival Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Shoe Carnival's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shoe Carnival's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Shoe Carnival Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Shoe Carnival's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.4244+1.4*0.6801+3.3*0.242+0.6*3.0977+1.0*1.6159
=5.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Oct. 2021:
Total Assets was $787 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $496 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $162 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $535 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 62.312 + 59.597 + 57.488 + 10.448 = $190 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.12 + -0.119 + -0.119 + -0.119 = $-0 Mil.
Revenue was 356.336 + 332.23 + 328.457 + 253.897 = $1,271 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $1,096 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $354 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(495.665 - 161.837)/786.509
=0.4244

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=534.902/786.509
=0.6801

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(189.845 - -0.477)/786.509
=0.242

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=1096.475/353.963
=3.0977

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=1270.92/786.509
=1.6159

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Shoe Carnival has a Altman Z-Score of 5.73 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Shoe Carnival  (NAS:SCVL) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Shoe Carnival Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Shoe Carnival's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Shoe Carnival Business Description

Shoe Carnival logo
Industry
Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical NAICS : 448210 SIC : 5661
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
7500 East Columbia Street, Evansville, IN, USA, 47715
Shoe Carnival Inc is a footwear retailer with hundreds of stores in the United States. It offers moderately priced, name-brand dress, casual, and athletic footwear for men, women, and children. Its average store has more than 27,000 pairs of shoes. The company promotes a shopping experience that includes contests, games, and a person on a stage with a microphone to announce limited-time specials. To enable its value-pricing strategy, Shoe Carnival minimizes staffing needs by housing all merchandise on the selling floor and leases store locations in open-air shopping centers. The company buys its merchandise from hundreds of vendors, with Nike and Skechers accounting for a substantial portion of total company sales. All merchandise goes through the company's distribution center in Indiana.
Executives
Sifford Clifton E director, officer: VICE CHAIRMAN & CEO PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: SIFFORD CLIFTON E a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Baker Timothy T officer: EXEC. VP - CHIEF RETAIL PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: BAKER TIMOTHY T a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Tomm Charles B. director 201 N. FRANKLIN STREET SUITE 2800 TAMPA FL 33602
Scibetta Carl N. officer: EVP - CHIEF MERCHANDISE OFF. 7500 EAST COLUMBIA STREET EVANSVILLE IN 47715
Kleeberger Kent A director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: KLEEBERGER KENT A a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Aschleman James A director 300 N MERIDIAN ST STE 2700 INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Wood Joseph W director 4896 DEER RIDGE DRIVE SOUTH CARMEL IN 46033
Guthrie Andrea R. director 7500 EAST COLUMBIA STREET EVANSVILLE IN 47715
Jackson W Kerry officer: SENIOR EVP - CFO & CAO PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: JACKSON W KERRY a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Worden Mark J. officer: PRESIDENT & CHIEF CUSTOMER OFF 7500 E. COLUMBIA STREET EVANSVILLE IN 47715
Weaver Wayne J director, 10 percent owner, officer: CHAIRMAN OF THE BOARD TWO STAMFORD PLAZA 281 TRESSER BLVD P O BOX 1214 STAMFORD CT 06904-1214
Weaver Delores B 10 percent owner TWO STAMFORD PLAZA 281 TRESSER BLVD P O BOX 1214 STAMFORD CT 06904-1214
Gerstel Jeffrey C director 933 MACARTHUR BOULEVARD MAHWAH NJ 07430
Yearwood Kathy A officer: SVP CONTROLLER/PAO 7500 EAST COLUMBIA STREET EVANSVILLE IN 47715
Schoor Gerald W director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: SCHOOR GERALD W a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}

Shoe Carnival Headlines

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By Zacks 2020-07-15

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