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TuSimple Holdings (TuSimple Holdings) Altman Z-Score : -2.68 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)


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What is TuSimple Holdings Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of -2.68 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

TuSimple Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of -2.68, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for TuSimple Holdings's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSPH' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.68   Med: 7.81   Max: 196.54
Current: -2.68

During the past 5 years, TuSimple Holdings's highest Altman Z-Score was 196.54. The lowest was -2.68. And the median was 7.81.


TuSimple Holdings Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for TuSimple Holdings's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

TuSimple Holdings Altman Z-Score Chart

TuSimple Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Altman Z-Score
- - - 67.06 -0.64

TuSimple Holdings Quarterly Data
Dec18 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.26 -0.64 -0.72 -0.61 -0.56

Competitive Comparison of TuSimple Holdings's Altman Z-Score

For the Trucking subindustry, TuSimple Holdings's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


TuSimple Holdings's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, TuSimple Holdings's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where TuSimple Holdings's Altman Z-Score falls into.



TuSimple Holdings Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

TuSimple Holdings's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.8909+1.4*-2.1572+3.3*-0.4232+0.6*1.103+1.0*0.0026
=-2.68

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2023:
Total Assets was $848.49 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $793.16 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $37.21 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-1,830.39 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -61.436 + -78.039 + -81.212 + -138.386 = $-359.07 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0.00 Mil.
Revenue was 0 + 0.092 + 0.215 + 1.858 = $2.17 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $85.06 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $77.12 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(793.164 - 37.207)/848.487
=0.8909

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-1830.392/848.487
=-2.1572

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-359.073 - 0)/848.487
=-0.4232

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=85.060/77.117
=1.103

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=2.165/848.487
=0.0026

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

TuSimple Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of -2.68 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


TuSimple Holdings  (OTCPK:TSPH) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


TuSimple Holdings Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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TuSimple Holdings (TuSimple Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
9191 Towne Centre Drive, Suite 600, San Diego, CA, USA, 92122
TuSimple Holdings Inc is an autonomous technology company in the global truck freight market. It has developed a technology for semi-trucks to build the Autonomous Freight Network (AFN) in partnership with shippers, carriers, railroads, freight brokers, fleet asset owners, and truck hardware partners. The company recognizes revenue from providing freight capacity services. TuSimple's two reportable geographic segments are the U.S. and APAC.
Executives
Eric R Tapia officer: See Remarks 100 GRAINGER PARKWAY, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
J. Tyler Mcgaughey director 9191 TOWNE CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 600, SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Zhen Tao director 9191 TOWNE CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 600, SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Wendy Hayes director 9191 TOWNE CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 600, SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Michael G. Mosier director 9191 TOWNE CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 600, SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Lu James Fu Bin director C/O PLAYTIKA LTD., HACHOSHLIM ST 8, HERZLIYA PITUARCH L3 4672408
Mehmet Ersin Yumer officer: See Remarks 9191 TOWNE CENTRE DRIVE STE 600, SAN DIEGO CA 92122
James Mullen officer: See Remarks 9191 TOWNE CENTRE DRIVE STE 600, SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Patrick Dillon officer: Chief Financial Officer 9191 TOWNE CENTRE DRIVE STE 600, SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Reed Werner director 9191 TOWNE CENTRE DRIVE STE 600, SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Brad W Buss director 198 CHAMPION COURT, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Cheng Lu director, officer: See Remarks 9191 TOWNE CENTRE DRIVE STE 600, SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Michelle M Sterling director 5775 MOREHOUSE DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
White Marble Llc 10 percent owner 9191 TOWNE CENTRE DRIVE STE 600, SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Charles Guowei Chao director, 10 percent owner

TuSimple Holdings (TuSimple Holdings) Headlines

From GuruFocus

TuSimple names permanent General Counsel

By PRNewswire PRNewswire 02-09-2023