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GrafTech International (GrafTech International) Altman Z-Score

: -0.15 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of -0.15 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

GrafTech International has a Altman Z-Score of -0.15, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for GrafTech International's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

EAF' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.15   Med: 1.46   Max: 3.14
Current: -0.15

During the past 13 years, GrafTech International's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.14. The lowest was -0.15. And the median was 1.46.


GrafTech International Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for GrafTech International's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

GrafTech International Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.14 2.52 3.11 2.48 -0.06

GrafTech International Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.48 2.08 1.71 1.16 -0.06

Competitive Comparison

For the Electrical Equipment & Parts subindustry, GrafTech International's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


GrafTech International Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, GrafTech International's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where GrafTech International's Altman Z-Score falls into.



GrafTech International Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

GrafTech International's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.3757+1.4*-0.5139+3.3*-0.1668+0.6*0.314+1.0*0.4814
=-0.15

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $1,288.9 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $674.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $190.5 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-662.4 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -225.104 + -32.865 + -5.522 + -10.273 = $-273.8 Mil.
Interest Expense was -17.64 + -17.68 + -12.633 + -10.79 = $-58.7 Mil.
Revenue was 137.145 + 158.992 + 185.561 + 138.802 = $620.5 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $380.1 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,210.6 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(674.793 - 190.543)/1288.889
=0.3757

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-662.39/1288.889
=-0.5139

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-273.764 - -58.743)/1288.889
=-0.1668

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=380.110/1210.642
=0.314

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=620.5/1288.889
=0.4814

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

GrafTech International has a Altman Z-Score of -0.15 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


GrafTech International  (NYSE:EAF) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


GrafTech International Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of GrafTech International's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


GrafTech International (GrafTech International) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
982 Keynote Circle, Brooklyn Heights, Independence, OH, USA, 44131
GrafTech International Ltd is a producer of specialized graphite electrodes. The electrode is an essential part of the electric arc furnace process used in aluminum smelters and steel minimills. The company operates into one reporting segment namely Industrial Materials. The Industrial Materials segment manufactures high-quality graphite electrodes essential to the production of electric arc furnace steel and other ferrous and non-ferrous metals. It offers graphite electrodes and needle coke products.
Executives
Brookfield Private Funds Holdings Inc. director, 10 percent owner THREE WORLD FINANCIAL CENTER, 200 VESEY STREET, 11TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10281
Bcp Gp Ltd director, 10 percent owner, See Remarks C/O BROOKFIELD ASSET MANAGEMENT INC., BROOKFIELD PLACE, 181 BAY STREET, SUITE, TORONTO A6 M5J2T3
Diego Donoso director 2211 H.H. DOW WAY, MIDLAND MI 48674
Marcel Kessler director, officer: CEO and President 982 KEYNOTE CIRCLE, BROOKLYN HEIGHTS OH 44131
Jean-marc Germain director 982 KEYNOTE CIRCLE, BROOKLYN HEIGHTS OH 44131
Timothy K Flanagan officer: CFO, VP Finance & Treasurer C/O GRAFTECH INTERNATIONAL LTD., 982 KEYNOTE CIRCLE, BROOKLYN HEIGHTS OH 44131
David J. Rintoul director, officer: President and CEO 600 GRANT STREET, SUITE 6100, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
Debra Fine director 590 MADISON AVENUE, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Henry R. Keizer director MONTPELIER HOUSE, 94 PITTS BAY ROAD, PEMBROKE D0 HM 08
Leslie D Dunn director
Brookfield Business Partners Ltd director, 10 percent owner 73 FRONT STREET, 5TH FLOOR, HAMILTON D0 HM12
Bcp Iv Bermuda Investor Lp director, 10 percent owner 181 BAY STREET, SUITE 300, BROOKFIELD PLACE, TORONTO A6 M5J 2T3
Brookfield Private Equity Group Holdings Lp director, 10 percent owner C/O BROOKFIELD ASSET MANAGEMENT INC., BROOKFIELD PLACE, 181 BAY STREET, SUITE, TORONTO A6 M5J2T3
Brookfield Us Inc. director, 10 percent owner BROOKFIELD PLACE, 250 VESEY STREET, 15TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10281-1023
Brookfield Private Equity Holdings Llc director, 10 percent owner C/O BROOKFIELD ASSET MANAGEMENT INC., BROOKFIELD PLACE, 250 VESEY STREET, NEW YORK NY 10281-1023

GrafTech International (GrafTech International) Headlines

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