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Virgin Galactic Holdings (Virgin Galactic Holdings) Altman Z-Score

: -2.84 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of -2.8 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Virgin Galactic Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of -2.84, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Virgin Galactic Holdings's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SPCE' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.8   Med: 6.69   Max: 20.29
Current: -2.8

During the past 7 years, Virgin Galactic Holdings's highest Altman Z-Score was 20.29. The lowest was -2.80. And the median was 6.69.


Virgin Galactic Holdings Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Virgin Galactic Holdings's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Virgin Galactic Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.31 9.07 9.93 -1.67 -2.24

Virgin Galactic Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.67 -2.31 -1.94 -2.13 -2.24

Competitive Comparison

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Virgin Galactic Holdings's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Virgin Galactic Holdings Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Virgin Galactic Holdings's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Virgin Galactic Holdings's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Virgin Galactic Holdings Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Virgin Galactic Holdings's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.6487+1.4*-1.8025+3.3*-0.4146+0.6*0.4462+1.0*0.0058
=-2.84

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $1,179.52 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $950.83 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $185.66 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-2,126.13 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -103.746 + -104.551 + -134.33 + -159.257 = $-501.88 Mil.
Interest Expense was -3.224 + -3.221 + -3.216 + -3.211 = $-12.87 Mil.
Revenue was 2.809 + 1.728 + 1.871 + 0.392 = $6.80 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $300.79 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $674.04 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(950.829 - 185.66)/1179.517
=0.6487

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-2126.132/1179.517
=-1.8025

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-501.884 - -12.872)/1179.517
=-0.4146

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=300.790/674.041
=0.4462

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=6.8/1179.517
=0.0058

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Virgin Galactic Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of -2.84 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Virgin Galactic Holdings  (NYSE:SPCE) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Virgin Galactic Holdings Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Virgin Galactic Holdings (Virgin Galactic Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1700 Flight Way, Tustin, CA, USA, 92782
Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc is a United States-based vertically integrated aerospace company pioneering human spaceflight for private individuals & researchers, and it also manufactures advanced air and space vehicles. Using its technologies, it is developing a spaceflight system designed to offer its customers a unique, multi-day, and transformative experience. This culminates in a spaceflight that includes views of Earth from space and several minutes of weightlessness that will launch from Spaceport America, New Mexico.
Executives
Arcangeli Henio R Jr director C/O VIRGIN GALACTIC HOLDINGS, INC., 1700 FLIGHT WAY, TUSTIN CA 92782
Diana S. Strandberg director 1700 FLIGHT WAY, TUSTIN CA 92782
Raymond E Mabus director C/O DANA INCORPORATED, 3939 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, MAUMEE OH 43537
Aparna Chitale officer: See Remarks 1700 FLIGHT WAY, TUSTIN CA 92782
Sarah E Kim officer: See Remarks C/O VIRGIN GALACTIC HOLDINGS, INC., 1700 FLIGHT WAY, TUSTIN CA 92782
Douglas T Ahrens officer: See Remarks 215 MOFFETT PARK DRIVE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Michael A Colglazier director, officer: See Remarks C/O VIRGIN GALACTIC HOLDINGS, INC., 166 NORTH ROADRUNNER PARKWAY, SUITE 1C, LAS CRUCES NM 88011
Alistair Burns officer: See Remarks 1700 FLIGHT WAY, TUSTIN CA 92782
Michelle Kley officer: See Remarks C/O VIRGIN GALACTIC HOLDINGS, INC., 166 NORTH ROADRUNNER PARKWAY, SUITE 1C, LAS CRUCES NM 88011
Wanda A Sigur director C/O VIRGIN GALACTIC HOLDINGS, INC., 166 NORTH ROADRUNNER PARKWAY, SUITE 1C, LAS CRUCES NM 88011
Virgin Investments Ltd 10 percent owner LA MOTTE CHAMBERS, ST HELIER Y9 X0 JE1 1BJ
Craig S Kreeger director C/O VIRGIN GALACTIC HOLDINGS, INC., 166 NORTH ROADRUNNER PARKWAY 1C, LAS CRUCES NM 88011
Tina W Jonas director C/O PASSUR AEROSPACE, INC, ONE LANDMARK SQUARE, SUITE 1900, STAMFORD CT 06901
Swaminathan B. Lyer officer: See Remarks 166 NORTH ROADRUNNER PARKWAY, SUITE 1C, LAS CRUCES NM 88011
Chamath Palihapitiya director, 10 percent owner THE SOCIAL-CAPITAL PARTNERSHIP, L.L.C., 506 SANTA CRUZ AVENUE, SUITE 300, MENLO PARK CA 94025