China Telecom (STU:ZCH) Altman Z-Score: 1.33 (As of Jul. 07, 2026) — 21% Above Median


STU:ZCH China Telecom Corp Ltd STU:ZCH
84 GF Score
Price €0.57
GF Value €0.63
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is China Telecom Altman Z-Score?

China Telecom STU:ZCH 84 Altman Z-Score is 1.33 as of Jul. 07, 2026, which is 21% above its 10-year median of 1.10. GuruFocus rates STU:ZCH with a GF Score™ of 84/100 and a GF Value™ of €0.63. The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 363 Telecommunication Services companies, China Telecom ranks worse than 61.43% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.32 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

China Telecom has a Altman Z-Score of 1.33, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Telecom's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

STU:ZCH' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.6   Med: 1.1   Max: 1.64
Current: 1.32

During the past 13 years, China Telecom's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.64. The lowest was 0.60. And the median was 1.10.


China Telecom  (STU:ZCH) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


China Telecom Altman Z-Score Related Terms


China Telecom Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for China Telecom's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

China Telecom Altman Z-Score Chart

China Telecom Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.86 1.30 1.40 1.54 1.60

China Telecom Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.39 1.64 1.28 1.60 1.17

STU:ZCH vs TMUS, VZ, T: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Telecom Services subindustry, China Telecom's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Telecom Altman Z-Score vs Telecommunication Services Industry

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, China Telecom's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Telecom's Altman Z-Score falls into.


STU:ZCH
84GF Score
China Telecom Corp Ltd STU:ZCH
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

China Telecom Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

China Telecom's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.1203+1.4*0+3.3*0.047+0.6*1.2362+1.0*0.5807
=1.33

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was €110,330 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €28,013 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €41,291 Mil.
Retained Earnings was €0 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 1170.218 + 391.643 + 1178.699 + 2206.863 = €4,947 Mil.
Interest Expense was -2.134 + -194.003 + 72.839 + -118.089 = €-241 Mil.
Revenue was 16562.652 + 16073.247 + 15013.786 + 16417.868 = €64,068 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was €62,559 Mil.
Total Liabilities was €50,604 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(28012.691 - 41290.726)/110329.701
=-0.1203

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=0/110329.701
=0

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(4947.423 - -241.387)/110329.701
=0.047

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=62559.422/50604.401
=1.2362

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=64067.553/110329.701
=0.5807

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

China Telecom has a Altman Z-Score of 1.33 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 1.33 mean?
China Telecom (STU:ZCH) has a Altman Z-Score of 1.33 as of Jul. 07, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on China Telecom and its competitors. This is 21% above median its historical median of 1.10. Over the past decade, China Telecom's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.60 to 1.64. According to the industry distribution chart, China Telecom ranks #223 out of 363 companies in the Telecommunication Services industry, placing it in the top 61.4%.
Is China Telecom's Altman Z-Score too high?
China Telecom's current Altman Z-Score of 1.33 is 21% above median its 10-year median of 1.10. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.60 to a high of 1.64. The Telecommunication Services industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.73. China Telecom's value of 1.33 is 23.1% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, China Telecom ranks #223 out of 363 companies in the Telecommunication Services industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, China Telecom has a GF Score™ of 84/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does China Telecom's Altman Z-Score compare to TMUS and VZ?
According to the Telecommunication Services industry distribution chart, China Telecom ranks #223 out of 363 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places China Telecom in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.73. China Telecom's value of 1.33 is 23.1% below this benchmark. Historically, China Telecom's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.60 to 1.64 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.10 vs. the industry median of 1.73, China Telecom has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Telecommunication Services company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Telecommunication Services companies is 1.73, based on 363 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. China Telecom's current Altman Z-Score of 1.33 is 23.1% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on China Telecom and its competitors. For the Telecommunication Services industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 1.73 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. China Telecom's current Altman Z-Score is 1.33, which is 21% above median its own 10-year median of 1.10. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is China Telecom stock overvalued right now?
China Telecom (STU:ZCH) has a current Altman Z-Score of 1.33. The stock's GF Value™ is €0.63, compared to a current price of €0.57 — trading 10.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 1.33, which is 21% above median its 10-year median of 1.10 and 23.1% below the Telecommunication Services industry median of 1.73. China Telecom's overall GF Score™ is 84/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For China Telecom (STU:ZCH), the current Altman Z-Score is 1.33 as of Jul. 07, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is China Telecom (STU:ZCH) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Telecom stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €0.57 is trading 10.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of €0.63.

Key valuation signals for STU:ZCH:

  • Altman Z-Score: 1.33 (21% above median its 10-year median of 1.10)
  • GF Value™: €0.63 vs. price of €0.57 (10.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 84/100 with 7 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 23.1% below the Telecommunication Services median (#223 of 363)

No single metric tells the full story. See the STU:ZCH stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


China Telecom Business Description

Other Exchanges 00728:Hong Kong601728:China
Address 31 Jinrong Street, Xicheng District, Beijing, CHN, 100033
China Telecom is the largest fixed-line operator in China, originally covering 21 southern provinces but now operating nationally. It has 201 million broadband customers, and 439 million wireless subscribers, having overtaken China Unicom to become the second-largest wireless operator in China behind China Mobile. The firm is increasing its cross-selling of products and seeing strong growth from industrial digitization services, such as internet data centers and cloud computing. Its internet data center business is already the largest in China and it is expanding overseas.
84GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STU:ZCH

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€0.57
Price
€0.63
GF Value