AOKI Holdings (TSE:8214) Altman Z-Score: 2.91 (As of Jul. 15, 2026) — 24% Above Median

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TSE:8214 AOKI Holdings Inc TSE:8214
68 GF Score
Price 円1,690.00
GF Value 円1,324.84
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is AOKI Holdings Altman Z-Score?

AOKI Holdings TSE:8214 +0.54% 68 Altman Z-Score is 2.91 as of Jul. 15, 2026, which is 24% above its 10-year median of 2.34. GuruFocus rates TSE:8214 with a GF Score™ of 68/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,324.84 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,114 Retail - Cyclical companies, AOKI Holdings ranks better than 53.68% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.89 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

AOKI Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 2.91, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that AOKI Holdings is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for AOKI Holdings's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:8214' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.31   Med: 2.34   Max: 2.89
Current: 2.89

During the past 13 years, AOKI Holdings's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.89. The lowest was 1.31. And the median was 2.34.


AOKI Holdings  (TSE:8214) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


AOKI Holdings Altman Z-Score Related Terms


AOKI Holdings Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for AOKI Holdings's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

AOKI Holdings Altman Z-Score Chart

AOKI Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.69 1.98 2.25 2.49 2.86

AOKI Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.49 2.93 3.12 3.03 2.86

TSE:8214 vs TJX, ROST, BURL: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, AOKI Holdings's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AOKI Holdings Altman Z-Score vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, AOKI Holdings's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AOKI Holdings's Altman Z-Score falls into.


TSE:8214
68GF Score
AOKI Holdings Inc TSE:8214
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

AOKI Holdings Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

AOKI Holdings's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1102+1.4*0.4469+3.3*0.0676+0.6*1.7723+1.0*0.8628
=2.91

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was 円225,455 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円70,865 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円46,009 Mil.
Retained Earnings was 円100,749 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 9117 + 2712 + 1031 + 2115 = 円14,975 Mil.
Interest Expense was -69 + -64 + -61 + -63 = 円-257 Mil.
Revenue was 63189 + 47315 + 40287 + 43741 = 円194,532 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was 円142,227 Mil.
Total Liabilities was 円80,249 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(70865 - 46009)/225455
=0.1102

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=100749/225455
=0.4469

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(14975 - -257)/225455
=0.0676

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=142227.059/80249
=1.7723

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=194532/225455
=0.8628

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

AOKI Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 2.91 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 2.91 mean?
AOKI Holdings (TSE:8214) has a Altman Z-Score of 2.91 as of Jul. 15, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on AOKI Holdings and its competitors. This is 24% above median its historical median of 2.34. Over the past decade, AOKI Holdings' Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.31 to 2.89. According to the industry distribution chart, AOKI Holdings ranks #516 out of 1114 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 46.3%.
Is AOKI Holdings' Altman Z-Score too high?
AOKI Holdings' current Altman Z-Score of 2.91 is 24% above median its 10-year median of 2.34. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.31 to a high of 2.89. The Retail - Cyclical industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.75. AOKI Holdings' value of 2.91 is 5.8% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, AOKI Holdings ranks #516 out of 1114 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, AOKI Holdings has a GF Score™ of 68/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does AOKI Holdings' Altman Z-Score compare to TJX and ROST?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, AOKI Holdings ranks #516 out of 1114 companies for Altman Z-Score. This puts AOKI Holdings in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.75. AOKI Holdings' value of 2.91 is 5.8% above this benchmark. Historically, AOKI Holdings' own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.31 to 2.89 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.34 vs. the industry median of 2.75, AOKI Holdings has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Retail - Cyclical company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Retail - Cyclical companies is 2.75, based on 1,114 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. AOKI Holdings's current Altman Z-Score of 2.91 is 5.8% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on AOKI Holdings and its competitors. For the Retail - Cyclical industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.75 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. AOKI Holdings's current Altman Z-Score is 2.91, which is 24% above median its own 10-year median of 2.34. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is AOKI Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AOKI Holdings (TSE:8214) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,324.84, compared to a current price of 円1,690.00 — trading 27.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 2.91, which is 24% above median its 10-year median of 2.34 and 5.8% above the Retail - Cyclical industry median of 2.75. AOKI Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 68/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For AOKI Holdings (TSE:8214), the current Altman Z-Score is 2.91 as of Jul. 15, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is AOKI Holdings (TSE:8214) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AOKI Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円1,690.00 is trading 27.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,324.84. GuruFocus considers AOKI Holdings to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:8214:

  • Altman Z-Score: 2.91 (24% above median its 10-year median of 2.34)
  • GF Value™: 円1,324.84 vs. price of 円1,690.00 (27.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 2 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 5.8% above the Retail - Cyclical median (#516 of 1114)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:8214 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


AOKI Holdings Business Description

Address 6-56, Katsuraya, Tsuzuki-ku, Yokohama, JPN, 224-8588
AOKI Holdings Inc is a holding company involved in the Fashion business, Anniversaire and bridal business and Entertainment business segments. The fashion business segment comprises the operation of retail chain stores for men's and women's apparel under the brand names of AOKI. Anniversaire and bridal segment offer guesthouse style format for ceremonies and receptions for couples to hold their weddings and anniversaries. The entertainment segment comprises the operation of karaoke restaurants and bars under the brand name of Cote d'Azur and also offers relaxation and refreshing activities in Kaikatsu club.
68GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:8214

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円1,690.00
Price
円1,324.84
GF Value