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AES Andes (XSGO:AESANDES) Altman Z-Score : 0.45 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is AES Andes Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 0.45 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

AES Andes has a Altman Z-Score of 0.45, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for AES Andes's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XSGO:AESANDES' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.44   Med: 0.86   Max: 1.18
Current: 0.45

During the past 13 years, AES Andes's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.18. The lowest was -0.44. And the median was 0.86.


AES Andes Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for AES Andes's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AES Andes Altman Z-Score Chart

AES Andes Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.65 0.32 -0.44 0.97 0.45

AES Andes Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.97 1.08 0.70 0.55 0.45

Competitive Comparison of AES Andes's Altman Z-Score

For the Utilities - Renewable subindustry, AES Andes's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AES Andes's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, AES Andes's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AES Andes's Altman Z-Score falls into.



AES Andes Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

AES Andes's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0112+1.4*-0.1847+3.3*0.0169+0.6*0.2487+1.0*0.4949
=0.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was CLP4,672,655 Mil.
Total Current Assets was CLP1,050,747 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was CLP998,539 Mil.
Retained Earnings was CLP-863,093 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -33725.55 + 122477.806 + -218825.816 + 45616.381 = CLP-84,457 Mil.
Interest Expense was -47981.696 + -47538.365 + -33171.553 + -34908.466 = CLP-163,600 Mil.
Revenue was 533492.909 + 681957.258 + 547728.757 + 549463.014 = CLP2,312,642 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was CLP840,508 Mil.
Total Liabilities was CLP3,380,053 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1050747.202 - 998538.682)/4672655.104
=0.0112

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-863092.635/4672655.104
=-0.1847

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-84457.179 - -163600.08)/4672655.104
=0.0169

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=840508.308/3380052.744
=0.2487

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=2312641.938/4672655.104
=0.4949

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

AES Andes has a Altman Z-Score of 0.45 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


AES Andes  (XSGO:AESANDES) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


AES Andes Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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AES Andes (XSGO:AESANDES) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Avenida Rosario Norte 532, Floors 18-20, Los Condes, Santiago, CHL
AES Andes SA is an electric utility company involved in the generation and supply of electricity in South America. It owns and operates a portfolio of hydroelectric, coal-fired, diesel-fueled, cogeneration, and natural gas power generation facilities. Most of the energy produced by the company comes from its sites utilizing thermal fuel sources. The company primarily generates revenue from contracted energy and capacity sales. Sales made on the spot market also represent a substantial revenue stream. The company's primary customers are the multiple interconnected energy markets in Chile and Colombia, such as the Central Interconnected System (SIC) and the Great North Interconnected System (SING).

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