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GE (GE Aerospace) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $19.21 (As of Mar25)


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What is GE Aerospace Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar25, GE Aerospace's earnings power value is $19.21. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -1184.97

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


GE Aerospace Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for GE Aerospace's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

GE Aerospace Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

GE Aerospace Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -10.87 -13.98 2.89 13.68 17.93

GE Aerospace Quarterly Data
Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.75 15.14 17.67 17.93 19.21

Competitive Comparison of GE Aerospace's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, GE Aerospace's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


GE Aerospace's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, GE Aerospace's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where GE Aerospace's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.


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GE Aerospace Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

GE Aerospace's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 46,517
DDA 1,778
Operating Margin % 3.20
SGA * 25% 2,160
Tax Rate % 13.94
Maintenance Capex 846
Cash and Cash Equivalents 13,405
Short-Term Debt 2,084
Long-Term Debt 17,487
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 1,078

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 3.20%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $46,517 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 3.20%, Average Adjusted SGA = 2,160,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 46,517 * 3.20% +2,160 = $3649.385352 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 13.94%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $3649.385352 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 3649.385352 * ( 1 - 13.94% ) = $3140.6427870044 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 1,778 * 0.5 * 13.94% = $123.9449855 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 3140.6427870044 + 123.9449855 = $3264.5877725044 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
GE Aerospace's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $846 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. GE Aerospace's current cash and cash equivalent = $13,405 Mil.
GE Aerospace's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 17,487 + 2,084 = $19571 Mil.
GE Aerospace's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 1,078 Mil.

GE Aerospace's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar25 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 3264.5877725044 - 846)/ 9%+13,405-19571 )/1,078
=19.21

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 19.212943439543-246.88 )/19.212943439543
= -1184.97%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


GE Aerospace  (NYSE:GE) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


GE Aerospace Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of GE Aerospace's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


GE Aerospace Business Description

Address
1 Neumann Way, Evendale, Cleveland, OH, USA, 45215
GE Aerospace is the global leader in designing, manufacturing, and servicing large aircraft engines, along with partner Safran in their CFM joint venture. With its massive global installed base of nearly 70,000 commercial and military engines, GE Aerospace earns most of its profits on recurring service revenue of that equipment, which operates for decades. GE Aerospace is the remaining core business of the company formed in 1892 with historical ties to American inventor Thomas Edison; that company became a storied conglomerate with peak revenue of $130 billion in 2000 until GE spun off its appliance, finance, healthcare, and wind and power businesses between 2016 and 2024.
Executives
Russell Stokes officer: Senior Vice President ONE FINANCIAL CENTER, SUITE 3700, BOSTON MA 02111
Rahul Ghai officer: Senior Vice President GENERAL ELECTRIC COMPANY, 5 NECCO STREET, BOSTON MA 02210
Michael J Holston officer: Senior Vice President GENERAL ELECTRIC COMPANY, ONE FINANCIAL CENTER, SUITE 3700, BOSTON MA 02111
Scott Strazik officer: Senior Vice President ONE FINANCIAL CENTER, SUITE 3700, BOSTON MA 02111
Jessica R. Uhl director 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
Thomas S Timko officer: Vice President 300 RENAISSANCE CENTER, M/C: 482-C25-A36, DETROIT MI 48265-3000
Darren W Mcdew director 100 ABBOTT PARK ROAD, ABBOTT PARK IL 60064
L Kevin Cox officer: Senior Vice President THE PEPSI BOTTLING GROUP, INC., ONE PEPSI WAY, SOMERS NY 10589
Happe Carolina Dybeck officer: Senior Vice President 5 NECCO STREET, BOSTON MA 02210
John S. Slattery officer: Executive Vice President 5 NECCO STREET, BOSTON MA 02210
Thomas W Horton director 4333 AMON CARTER BLVD., FORTH WORTH TX 76155
Isabella D Goren director C/O LYONDELLBASELL INDUSTRIES N V, DELFTSEPLEIN 27E, ROTTERDAM P7 3013AA
Francisco Dsouza director 500 GLENPOINTE CENTRE W, TEANECK NJ 07666
Risa J Lavizzo-mourey director GE HEALTHCARE TECHNOLOGIES INC., 500 W. MONROE ST., CHICAGO IL 60661
Paula Rosput Reynolds director 605 HILLSIDE DRIVE EAST, SEATTLE WA 98112