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ADRT (Ault Disruptive Technologies) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 50.00% (As of Mar. 14, 2025)


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What is Ault Disruptive Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Ault Disruptive Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Ault Disruptive Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Shell Companies subindustry, Ault Disruptive Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ault Disruptive Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Diversified Financial Services Industry

For the Diversified Financial Services industry and Financial Services sector, Ault Disruptive Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ault Disruptive Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Ault Disruptive Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Ault Disruptive Technologies  (AMEX:ADRT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Ault Disruptive Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Ault Disruptive Technologies Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
11411 Southern Highlands Parkway, Suite 240, Las Vegas, NV, USA, 89141
Ault Disruptive Technologies Corp is a blank check company.
Executives
Ault Milton C Iii director 11411 SOUTHERN HIGHLANDS PARKWAY, SUITE 240, LAS VEGAS NV 89141
Robert O Smith director DIGITAL POWER CORPORATION, 41920 CHRISTY STREET, FREMONT CA 94538
William B. Horne director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O AULT ALLIANCE, INC., 940 SOUTH COAST DRIVE, SUITE 200, COSTA MESA CA 92626
Jeffrey Allen Bentz director 107 E BONITA WAY, TEMPE AZ 85281
Henry Carl Nisser director, officer: President and General Counsel 100 PARK AVENUE, SUITE 1658A, NEW YORK NY 10017
Kenneth S Cragun officer: Chief Financial Officer 3775 CHIPPEWA CIRCLE, CORONA CA 92881
David J Katzoff officer: Vice President - Finance 201 SHIPYARD WAY, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92663
Mark Gustafson director 10691 ROSECROFT CRESCENT, RICHMOND A1 V7A 2H9
Ault Disruptive Technologies Company, Llc 10 percent owner 11411 SOUTHERN HIGHLANDS PKWY, SUITE 240, LAS VEGAS NV 89141
Mark Christian Nelson director C/O AULT DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGIES CORP, 11411 SOUTHERN HIGHLANDS, PKWY 240, LAS VEGAS NV 89141