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APLD (Applied Digital) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.22% (As of Mar. 14, 2025)


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What is Applied Digital Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Applied Digital's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.22%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Applied Digital's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Information Technology Services subindustry, Applied Digital's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Applied Digital's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Applied Digital's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Applied Digital's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Applied Digital Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.11

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.22%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Applied Digital  (NAS:APLD) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Applied Digital Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Applied Digital Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Applied Digital Corp (NAS:APLD) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3811 Turtle Creek Boulevard, Suite 2100, Dallas, TX, USA, 75219
Applied Digital Corp is a designer, developer, and operator of next-generation digital infrastructure across North America. It provides digital infrastructure solutions and cloud services to industries like High-Performance Computing (HPC) and Artificial Intelligence (AI). The company operates in the following business segments; Data Center Hosting Business, Cloud Services Business, and HPC Hosting Business. The majority of its revenue is generated from the Data Center Hosting Business which operates data centers to provide energized space to crypto mining customers.
Executives
Richard N Nottenburg director 1303 EAST ALGONQUIN ROAD, SCHAUMBURG IL 60196
Wes Cummins director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO & Chairman 4505 LORRAINE AVE, DALLAS TX 75205
Douglas S Miller director C/O TELENAV, INC., 4655 GREAT AMERICA PK, SUITE 300, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Virginia Moore director 3811 TURTLE CREEK BOULEVARD, SUITE 2100, C/O APPLIED BLOCKCHAIN,INC., DALLAS TX 75219
Michael Maniscalco officer: Chief Technology Officer 3811 TURTLE CREEK BOULEVARD, SUITE 2100, DALLAS TX 75219
David Rench officer: Chief Financial Officer 3811 TURTLE CREEK BOULEVARD, SUITE 2100, C/O APPLIED BLOCKCHAIN, INC., DALLAS TX 75219
Regina Ingel officer: EVP - Operations 3811 TURTLE CREEK BOULEVARD, SUITE 2100, C/O APPLIED BLOCKCHAIN, INC., DALLAS TX 75219
Chuck Hastings director 3811 TURTLE CREEK BOULEVARD, SUITE 2100, C/O APPLIED BLOCKCHAIN, INC., DALLAS TX 75219
Kelli Mcdonald director 3811 TURTLE CREEK BOULEVARD, SUITE 2100, C/O APPLIED BLOCKCHAIN, INC., DALLAS TX 75219
Jason Zhang director 3811 TURTLE CREEK BOULEVARD, SUITE 2100, C/O APPLIED BLOCKCHAIN, INC., DALLAS TX 75219
Richard S Rosenfeld officer: CFO 105 STONEBRIDGE ROAD, MONTCLAIR NJ 07042
James A Schwartz director 28 COTTRELL STREET, MYSTIC CT 06355
Riley Investment Management Llc 10 percent owner 11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD., SUITE 810, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Riley Investment Partners Master Fund, L.p. 10 percent owner 11100 SANTA MONICA BOULEVARD, SUITE 810, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Samuel A Kovnat director, officer: Chief Executive Officer