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BLE (Blackrock Municipalome Trust II) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


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What is Blackrock Municipalome Trust II Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Blackrock Municipalome Trust II's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Blackrock Municipalome Trust II's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Blackrock Municipalome Trust II's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Blackrock Municipalome Trust II's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Blackrock Municipalome Trust II's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Blackrock Municipalome Trust II's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Blackrock Municipalome Trust II Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.80

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Blackrock Municipalome Trust II  (NYSE:BLE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Blackrock Municipalome Trust II Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Blackrock Municipalome Trust II Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
100 Bellevue Parkway, Wilmington, DE, USA, 19809
Blackrock Municipal Income Trust II is a perpetual closed-end municipal bond fund. Its objective is to provide high current income exempt from regular U.S. federal income tax consistent with the preservation of capital. The Fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing at least 80% of its assets in municipal obligations that pay interest that is exempt from U.S. federal income taxes (except that the interest may be subject to the U.S. federal alternative minimum tax).
Executives
Stayce D. Harris director 1999 S. BASCOM AVE., SUITE 700, CAMPBELL CA 95008
Phillip Soccio other: Portfolio Manager 100 BELLEVUE PARKWAY, WILMINGTON DE 19809
Arthur Philip Steinmetz director 50 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
Aaron David Wasserman officer: Chief Compliance Officer 50 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
Peter Hayes other: Officer of the Advisor 100 BELLEVUE PARKWAY, WILMINGTON DE 19809
Kristi Manidis Santiago other: Portfolio Manager 1 UNIVERSITY SQUARE DRIVE, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Christian Romaglino other: Portfolio Manager 55 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10055
Kevin Maloney other: Portfolio Manager 55 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10055
Michael Kalinoski other: Portfolio Manager 800 SCUDDERS MILL ROAD, PLAINSBORO NJ 08536
Lorenzo Flores director 2100 LOGIC DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95124
James Phillip Holloman director P.O. BOX 625737, 6800 CINTAS BOULEVARD, CINCINNATI OH 45262
Robert Glenn Hubbard director 100 BELLEVUE PARKWAY, WILMINGTON DE 19809
Jaeckel Theodore R Jr other: Portfolio Manager 800SCUDDERS MILL ROAD, PLAINSBORO NJ 08536
Richard Cavanagh director 100 BELLEVUE PARKWAY, WILMINGTON DE 19809
Michael J Castellano director C/O LAZARD LLC, 30 ROCKEFELLER PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10020

Blackrock Municipalome Trust II Headlines

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