Cornerstone Building Brands (NYSE:CNR) Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.00% (As of Today)

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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Cornerstone Building Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison

For the Building Products & Equipment subindustry, Cornerstone Building Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Annual Data Quarterly Data

Cornerstone Building Brands Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Cornerstone Building Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cornerstone Building Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls in comparison to its industry or sector. The grey bar indicates the Probability of Financial Distress (%)'s extreme value range as defined by GuruFocus.

Cornerstone Building Brands Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Cornerstone Building Brands (NYSE:CNR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Cornerstone Building Brands Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Cornerstone Building Brands (NYSE:CNR) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Construction » Cornerstone Building Brands Inc (NYSE:CNR) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

5020 Weston Parkway, Suite 400, Cary, NC, USA, 27513

Website

https://www.cornerstonebuildingbrands.com

Cornerstone Building Brands Inc constructs and sells building materials for the commercial, residential, and repair industries in North America. The company operates in three segments: commercial, which provides metal products and coil coating services for commercial construction; siding, which offers vinyl and steel siding, aluminum coil and gutters, roofing accessories, moldings, window and door trim, rain removal systems, vents, fences, and railings; and windows, which includes vinyl, aluminum, and wooden windows as well as steel, wood, and fiberglass doors. All three segments contribute sizably to total revenue.

Executives

Rose Lee	director, officer: PRESIDENT & CEO	C/O CROWN HOLDINGS, INC., 770 TOWNSHIP LINE ROAD, YARDLEY PA 19067
Judith A Reinsdorf	director	C. R. BARD, INC., 730 CENTRAL AVENUE, MURRAY HILL NJ 07974
Alena Brenner	officer: EVP, GC and Corp. Sec.	5020 WESTON PARKWAY, SUITE 400 CARY NC 27513
Jeffrey S. Lee	officer: EVP, CFO	5020 WESTON PARKWAY, SUITE 400 CARY NC 27513
Katy Theroux	officer: Executive VP, Chief HR Officer	10943 N. SAM HOUSTON PARKWAY W. HOUSTON TX 77056
Daniel C. Janki	director	5020 WESTON PARKWAY, SUITE 400, CARY NC 27513
Timothy J. Obrien	director	C/O NCI BUILDING SYSTEMS, INC. 10943 NORTH SAM HOUSTON PARKWAY WEST HOUSTON TX 77064
George L. Ball	director	10943 N. SAM HOUSTON PARKWAY W., HOUSTON TX 77064
William E Jackson	director	ONE NEENAH CENTER, 4TH FLOOR P.O. BOX 669 NEENAH WI 54957
Kathleen J Affeldt	director
John J Holland	director	26602 W. GREENTREE, OLATHE KS 66061
James Keppler	officer: EVP, OPERATIONS	5020 WESTON PARKWAY SUITE 400 CARY NC 27513
James Wilbert W Jr	director	16100 SOUTH LATHROP AVENUE, HARVEY IL 60426
Wayne Irmiter	officer: SVP, CAO	5020 WESTON PARKWAY CAY NC 27513
Atrium Window Holdings, Llc	10 percent owner	C/O GOLDEN GATE PRIVATE EQUITY, INC. 1 EMBARCADERO CENTER SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111