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Central Pacific Financial (Central Pacific Financial) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.07% (As of May. 02, 2024)


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What is Central Pacific Financial Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Central Pacific Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Central Pacific Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Central Pacific Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Central Pacific Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Central Pacific Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Central Pacific Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Central Pacific Financial Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.27

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.07%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Central Pacific Financial  (NYSE:CPF) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Central Pacific Financial Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Central Pacific Financial (Central Pacific Financial) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
220 South King Street, Honolulu, HI, USA, 96813
Central Pacific Financial Corp operates in the financial services sector in the United States. It is a full-service commercial bank offering a broad range of banking products and services, including accepting time and demand deposits and originating loans. Bank's deposits are insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) up to applicable limits. The bank is not a member of the Federal Reserve System. The company's loans include commercial loans, construction loans, commercial and residential mortgage loans and consumer loans. The company derives income from interest and fees on loans, interest on investment securities and fees received in connection with deposits and other services.
Executives
Agnes Catherine Ngo officer: EVP and CAO 220 S KING STREET, HONOLULU HI 96817
Camp Friedman Christine H H director 220 SOUTH KING STREET, HONOLULU HI 96813
Arnold D Martines officer: Senior Vice President 220 SOUTH KING ST, HONOLULU HI 96813
Paul K Yonamine director C/O HOKU SCIENTIFIC, INC., 2153 NORTH KING STREET, SUITE 300, HONOLULU HI 96819
Earl E Fry director C/O INFORMATICA CORPORATION, 2100 SEAPORT BLVD., REDWOOD CITY CA 94063
Kisan Jo officer: EVP 220 SOUTH KING ST, 870, HONOLULU HI 96813
Diane Murakami officer: EVP 220 SOUTH KING ST, 870, HONOLULU HI 96813
Jason Fujimoto director 220 SOUTH KING ST, 870, HONOLULU HI 96813
Paul Kosasa director ABC STORE, 766 POHNKAINA ST, HONOLULU HI 96813
Jonathan B Kindred director 220 SOUTH KING STREET, HONOLULU HI 96813
Saedene K Ota director 220 SOUTH KING ST, #870, HONOLULU HI 96813
Wayne K Kamitaki director 220 SOUTH KING ST, #870, HONOLULU HI 96813
Crystal Rose director 47-460 WAIHEE PLACE, KANEOHE HI 96744
Kevin Vincent Dahlstrom officer: EVP, CHIEF MARKETING OFFICER 220 S KING STREET, #870, HONOLULU HI 96813
John C Dean other: Acting Exec Chairman of Board 220 S. KING STREET, HONOLULU HI 96813