What is Cancer Prevention Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Cancer Prevention Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of Cancer Prevention Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, Cancer Prevention Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Cancer Prevention Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry
For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Cancer Prevention Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Cancer Prevention Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Cancer Prevention Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
Cancer Prevention Pharmaceuticals Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
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Cancer Prevention Pharmaceuticals Inc is a pharmaceutical company. It was originally incorporated under the laws of the state of Arizona on June 9, 2008, as Cancer Prevention Pharmaceuticals, LLC and on December 22, 2009, Cancer Prevention Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was incorporated in the state of Delaware. The Company currently operates mainly in the development and commercialization of compound CPP-1X, otherwise known as DFMO or eflornithine. It is involved in familial adenomatous polyposis, neuroblastoma and the prevention of recurrence in colon cancer survivors. However, CPP also has therapeutic prevention approaches for prostate cancer, breast cancer, and skin cancers which will be developed together with the National Cancer Institute (as resources become available in the future) and multiple academic partners. Its competitors are Marina Biotech, Inc., SLA Pharma AG, StemSynergy Therapeutics, Inc. and Thetis Pharmaceuticals LLC. The Company holds license to approximately six issued patents in the United States. The Company's activities are subject to risks and uncertainties including failure to obtain required regulatory approvals to market the products, once developed, in the USA or foreign markets.
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