GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Diagnostics & Research » Charles River Laboratories International Inc (NYSE:CRL) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

CRL (Charles River Laboratories International) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.05% (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2000. Start your Free Trial

What is Charles River Laboratories International Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Charles River Laboratories International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Charles River Laboratories International's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Diagnostics & Research subindustry, Charles River Laboratories International's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Charles River Laboratories International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Medical Diagnostics & Research Industry

For the Medical Diagnostics & Research industry and Healthcare sector, Charles River Laboratories International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Charles River Laboratories International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Charles River Laboratories International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.67

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Charles River Laboratories International  (NYSE:CRL) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Charles River Laboratories International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Charles River Laboratories International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Charles River Laboratories International Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
251 Ballardvale Street, Wilmington, MA, USA, 01887
Charles River Laboratories was founded in 1947 and is a leading provider of drug discovery and development services. The company's research model & services segment is the leading provider of animal models for laboratory testing, which breeds and delivers animal research models with specific genetic characteristics for preclinical studies around the world. The discovery & safety assessment segment includes services required to take a drug through the early development process, including discovery services. The manufacturing support segment includes microbial solutions, which provides in vitro (non-animal) testing products, biologics testing services, and avian vaccine services.
Executives
Richard F Wallman director HONEYWELL, 101 COLUMBIA ROAD, MORRISTOWN NJ 07962
Joseph W Laplume officer: EVP, Corp Strategy & Develop 251 BALLARDVALE STREET, WILMINGTON MA 01887
James C Foster director, officer: President and CEO 251 BALLARDVALE ST, WILMINGTON MA 01887
George Massaro director
Michael Gunnar Knell officer: CSVP&Chief Accounting Officer BRUKER CORPORATION, 40 MANNING ROAD, BILLERICA MA 01821
Victoria L Creamer officer: EVP & Chief People Officer 164 PINE HILL ROAD, NEW FAIRFIELD CT 06812
William D Barbo officer: Corporate Executive VP & CCO 251 BALLARDVALE STREET, WILMINGTON MA 01887
Shannon M Parisotto officer: CEVP, Disc & Safety Assessment 251 BALLARDVALE ST, WILMINGTON MA 01887
Birgit Girshick officer: Corporate Executive VP 251 BALLARDVALE STREET, WILMINGTON MA 01887
Flavia Pease officer: Corporate Executive VP 251 BALLARDVALE STREET, WILMINGTON MA 01887
David Ross Smith officer: Corporate Executive VP & CFO 251 BALLARDVALE STREET, WILMINGTON MA 01887
Deborah Turner Kochevar director 251 BALLARDVALE STREET, WILMINGTON MA 01887
Milne George M Jr director
Stephen D Chubb director C/O MATRITECH INC, 330 NEVADA STREET, NEWTON MA 02460
George Llado director 251 BALLARDVALE STREET, WILMINGTON MA 01887