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DiamondHead Holdings (DiamondHead Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 50.00% (As of Jun. 04, 2024)


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What is DiamondHead Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, DiamondHead Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of DiamondHead Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Shell Companies subindustry, DiamondHead Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


DiamondHead Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Diversified Financial Services Industry

For the Diversified Financial Services industry and Financial Services sector, DiamondHead Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where DiamondHead Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



DiamondHead Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


DiamondHead Holdings  (NAS:DHHCU) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


DiamondHead Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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DiamondHead Holdings (DiamondHead Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
250 Park Avenue, 7th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10177
Website
DiamondHead Holdings Corp is a blank check company.
Executives
Micenko John G. Jr. officer: President 90 N. ROYAL TOWER DRIVE, IRMO SC 29063
Erin Reeves Mcginnis officer: GC and Corp. Sec. 90 N. ROYAL TOWER DRIVE, IRMO SC 29063
Jason A. Enoch director 90 N. ROYAL TOWER DRIVE, IRMO SC 29063
Michael P. Nieri director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman, CEO, and President 90 N. ROYAL TOWER DRIVE, IRMO SC 29063
Twine Ray Shelton Iii 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Operating Officer 90 N. ROYAL TOWER DRIVE, IRMO SC 29063
Robert F. Dozier director 90 N. ROYAL TOWER DRIVE, IRMO SC 29063
Pennington W. Nieri 10 percent owner 90 N. ROYAL TOWER DRIVE, IRMO SC 29063
Stephen C. Lenker officer: Exec. VP, G.C., & Corp. Sec. 90 N. ROYAL TOWER DRIVE, IRMO SC 29063
O'grady Clive R.g. director, officer: Chief Administrative Officer 90 N. ROYAL TOWER DRIVE, IRMO SC 29063
Eric S. Bland director 90 N. ROYAL TOWER DRIVE, IRMO SC 29063
Penny Robert Earl Jr. officer: Executive VP - Sales 90 N. ROYAL TOWER DRIVE, IRMO SC 29063
Conversant Opportunity Master Fund Lp director 90 PARK AVENUE, 32ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10016
Pwn Trust 2018 Dated 7/17/2018 10 percent owner 90 N ROYAL TOWER DRIVE, IRMO SC 29063
Pmn Trust 2018 Dated 7/17/2018 10 percent owner 90 N ROYAL TOWER DRIVE, IRMO SC 29063
Patrick Michael Nieri 10 percent owner 90 N ROYAL TOWER DRIVE, IRMO SC 29063