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Elevance Health (Elevance Health) Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.02% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Elevance Health's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Healthcare Plans subindustry, Elevance Health's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Elevance Health Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Healthcare Plans industry and Healthcare sector, Elevance Health's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Elevance Health's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Elevance Health Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.64

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For insurance companies, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Elevance Health  (NYSE:ELV) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Elevance Health Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Elevance Health (Elevance Health) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
220 Virginia Avenue, Indianapolis, IN, USA, 46204
Elevance Health remains one of the leading health insurers in the U.S., providing medical benefits to 48 million medical members as of June 2023. The company offers employer, individual, and government-sponsored coverage plans. Elevance differs from its peers in its unique position as the largest single provider of Blue Cross Blue Shield branded coverage, operating as the licensee for the Blue Cross Blue Shield Association in 14 states. Through acquisitions, such as the Amerigroup deal in 2012 and MMM in 2021, Elevance's reach expands beyond those states through government-sponsored programs such as Medicaid and Medicare Advantage plans, too.
Executives
Blair Williams Todt officer: EVP and Chief Legal Officer 8735 HENDERSON ROAD, TAMPA FL 33625
Ronald W Penczek officer: SVP, Chief Accounting Officer 120 MONUMENT CIRCLE, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Mark Kaye officer: EVP & CFO Designate 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER, 250 GREENWICH ST, NEW YORK NY 10007
Dixon Robert L Jr director 120 MONUMENT CIRCLE, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Gloria M Mccarthy officer: EVP, Office of the CEO WELLPOINT, INC, 120 MONUMENT CIRCLE, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Kendrick Charles Morgan Jr officer: EVP & President, Commercial 220 VIRGINIA AVE, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Deanna D Strable-soethout director C/O PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP, 711 HIGH ST., DES MOINES IA 50392
Ramiro G Peru director WELLPOINT, INC, 120 MONUMENT CIRCLE, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46260
Peter D Haytaian officer: EVP & Pres., Govt. Bus. Div. 220 VIRGINIA AVE, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Susan D. Devore director C/O PREMIER, INC., 13034 BALLANTYNE CORPORATE PLACE, CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Ryan M. Schneider director 1680 CAPITAL ONE DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
John E Gallina officer: SVP & Chief Accounting Officer 120 MONUMENT CIRCLE, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Julie A Hill director WELLPOINT, INC, 120 MONUMENT CIRCLE, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Thomas C Zielinski officer: EVP & General Counsel
Jeffrey D. Alter officer: EVP, IngenioRx & Anthem Health 4330 LA JOLLA VILLAGE DRIVE, SUITE 200, SAN DIEGO CA 92122