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GGO.PRA.PFD (The Gabelli Go Anywhere Trust) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 50.00% (As of Apr. 03, 2025)


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What is The Gabelli Go Anywhere Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, The Gabelli Go Anywhere Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of The Gabelli Go Anywhere Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, The Gabelli Go Anywhere Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Gabelli Go Anywhere Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, The Gabelli Go Anywhere Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Gabelli Go Anywhere Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


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The Gabelli Go Anywhere Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


The Gabelli Go Anywhere Trust  (AMEX:GGO.PRA.PFD) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


The Gabelli Go Anywhere Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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The Gabelli Go Anywhere Trust Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
One Corporate Center, Rye, NY, USA, 10580-1422
The Gabelli Go Anywhere Trust is a non-diversified, closed-end investment management company. Its investment objective is total return, consisting of capital appreciation and current income. The Fund intends to invest primarily in a broad range of equity securities consisting of common stock, preferred stock, convertible or exchangeable securities, depositary receipts, and warrants & rights, under normal market conditions. The Fund invests in various sectors, of which U.S. Government Obligations, Financial Services, Cable & Satellite, Machinery, Healthcare, and Building & Construction sector account for majority weightage.
Executives
Calgary Avansino director C/O GAMCO INVESTORS, INC., ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 10580
Christina A. Peeney director C/O GAMCO INVESTORS, INC., ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 10580
Peter D. Goldstein officer: Secretary 249 ROYAL PALM WAY, SUITE 503, PALM BEACH FL 33480
Bruce N Alpert officer: President C/O GAMCO INVESTORS, INC., ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 10580
John Chester Ball officer: Treasurer 800 CONNECTICUT AVENUE, NORWALK CT 06854
Mario J Gabelli director, other: Control Person of Adviser 191 MASON STREET, GREENWICH CT 06830
Kuni Nakamura director 1 MARTIN BUTLER COURT, RYE NY 10580
Michael J Melarkey director ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 10580
Agnes Mullady officer: President ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 10580
Fahrenkopf Frank J Jr director ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 10580
Anthony S. Colavita director C/O GAMCO INVESTORS, INC., ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 10580
Joseph H Egan officer: Treasurer ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 10580
Michael J. Cosgrove director C/O GAMCO INVESTORS, INC., ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 10580

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