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Lvji Technology Holdings (HKSE:01745) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Dec. 12, 2024)


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What is Lvji Technology Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Lvji Technology Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Lvji Technology Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Travel Services subindustry, Lvji Technology Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lvji Technology Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Lvji Technology Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lvji Technology Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Lvji Technology Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-10.45

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Lvji Technology Holdings  (HKSE:01745) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Lvji Technology Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Lvji Technology Holdings Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Room 501, 238 Gaotang Road, Tianhe District, Guangzhou, CHN
Lvji Technology Holdings Inc is an online tour guide provider. The company deploys software on its cloud system to provide online tour guides with proprietary contents, which include illustrated maps of tourist attractions, editorial content, and voice-over commentaries of points of interest in the tourist attractions and are implemented to include functions such as real-time navigation. It generates revenue from sales of online tour guides through OTAs. It principally an online tour guide provider in Mainland China.
Executives
Lu Jia Technology Holdings Limited
Zang Weizhong 2101 Beneficial owner
Mithaq Capital 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Mithaq Capital Spc 2101 Beneficial owner
Mithaq Global 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Zang Weizhong 2101 Beneficial owner
Fan Bao Guo 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shen Zhen Qian Hai Chun Hua Yong Tai Qi Ye Guan Li Zi Xun He Huo Qi Ye You Xian He Huo 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Dong Ying Ling Long Jin Shan Tou Zi Guan Li You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Dong Ying Chun Hua Zi Xun Guan Li You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Sunrise Boulevard Investments Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Fu Zhekuan 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shen Zhen Shi Qi Fu Zi Ben Guan Li You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shang Hai Qian Fu Tou Zi Guan Li You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Guang Zhou Shi Jie Ming Tou Zi Guan Li You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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