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Mega Genomics (HKSE:06667) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Mar. 13, 2025)


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What is Mega Genomics Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Mega Genomics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Mega Genomics's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Diagnostics & Research subindustry, Mega Genomics's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mega Genomics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Medical Diagnostics & Research Industry

For the Medical Diagnostics & Research industry and Healthcare sector, Mega Genomics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mega Genomics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Mega Genomics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.01

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Mega Genomics  (HKSE:06667) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Mega Genomics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Mega Genomics Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
North Garden Road, 401 Health Work, Haidian District, Beijing, CHN
Mega Genomics Ltd is a genetic testing platform company in China with a focus on consumer genetic testing and cancer screening services. The company has launched dozens of testing services, covering a wide range of fields such as nutrition and metabolism, cancer risk assessment, chronic disease susceptibility, cancer screening, and infectious disease diagnosis, to meet consumers growing preventive medical needs. It generates a majority of its revenue from consumer genetic testing services.
Executives
Dongyin Industrial (shenzhen) Co., Ltd. 2106 Person having a security interest in shares
Dongyin (tianjin) Enterprise Management Consulting Co., Ltd. 2106 Person having a security interest in shares
Dongfu Hetong (tianjin) Equity Investment Fund Partnership Enterprise (limited Partnership) 2106 Person having a security interest in shares
Yurong Technology Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Dongfu (beijing) Investment Management Co., Ltd. 2106 Person having a security interest in shares
Dong Yin Development (holdings) Limited 2106 Person having a security interest in shares
China Orient Asset Management Co., Ltd. 2106 Person having a security interest in shares
Beijing Dongfu Huitong Investment Management Center (limited Partnership) 2106 Person having a security interest in shares
Guo Meiling 2101 Beneficial owner
Yu Rong 2501 Other
Lin Lin 2101 Beneficial owner
Infinite Galaxy Health Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Bei Jing He He Heng Ye Ke Ji You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Tian Jin Shi Ji Yu Neng Qi Ye Guan Li He Huo Qi Ye You Xian He Huo 2101 Beneficial owner
Bei Jing Shi Ji Yu Neng Ke Ji You Xian Gong Si 2501 Other

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